I agree that the next national team head coach will almost certainly be a collegiate coach. I just don't think it will be Self.
@HighEliteMajor
I think Self's lack of success with big time recruits means that, although the coaches at the pro level respect him, I am not sure the players feel the same way. Bill Self is very much a "system" guy and the players in the pros understand that a "system" is not as effective if it doesn't fit the personnel you have. His coaching style makes him a poor fit to coach a roster of pro players.
@JayHawkFanToo
I think Pop likes and respects Self as a college coach, but I also think that he may believe that others - particularly a coach like Hoiberg who works to develop and exploit matchup advantages - would be a better fit to work with pro players. I think that would be a consistent view among a lot of pro evaluators - Self is a good college coach, but may not be a good fit at the pro level. Notice also that the Self to the NBA chatter has significantly slowed over the last 3 years or so.
My other reason for believing that Self isn't under serious consideration is that he isn't currently in the pipeline.
The U19 coaches were Tony Bennett (Virginia), Shaka Smart (now Texas) and Billy Donovan (head coach of the U19, Florida).
The U18 coaches were Donovan (head coach), assisted by Ed Cooley (Providence) and Sean Miller (Arizona).
If Self were under consideration, I think they would have brought him into the pipeline by now. The fact that they have not, even as an assistant, says to me that he isn't on the radar for that job.