So while on HEM's thread about AW3 transferring after losing the battle with Brannen Greene, REHawk brought up the next logjam - the point guard position. We have 3 next year, and logic tells us there will only be room for 2 to receive steady minutes. And looking at it right now, this is going to be as closely a contested battle as we've seen at any position. No one can claim with any confidence that they know who will win playing time, the starting role, etc. Let's take a look at all three players, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses as we enter next season:
Connor Frankamp - 6'0" sophomore. Rivals ranked recruit # 34, ESPN ranked recruit #46
Strengths/pros: Reputation as an exceptional shooter, although he didn't show this throughout the season. Took care of the ball exceptionally well. Made good passes when he was in the game. Garnered playing time in the NCAA tournament when Tharpe struggled (and garnered this playing time over season-long back-up Frank Mason). Ended last year on a positive with great play in the two tournament games. Was the team leading scorer on the 2012 team USA U17 world championship team. One year familiarity in Self's system.
Weaknesses/Cons: Not exceedingly athletic. Defense an upgrade over Tharpe, but still likely marginal. Not a guard that is going to break down the defense or drive the lane typically. Needs to show trey gun skills consistently. Couldn't beat out Mason most of the year for the back-up minutes.
Frank Mason - 5'11" sophomore. Rivals ranked recruit #76. Unranked ESPN recruit
Strengths/Pros: Quickness attacking the rim. Able to penetrate the defense off the dribble. Showed good defensive instincts. Enters next year with the most collegiate level playing time at the position having been Tharpe's primary back-up last season. One year familiarity in Self's system.
Weaknesses/Cons: Needs to finish more of his shot attempts off his drives; often shots were wild and appeared out of control on drives. Could dish more off his drives. Showed only an average jump shot. Shortest of the 3 candidates.
Devonte' Graham - 6'2" freshman. Rivals ranked recruit #36. Unranked ESPN recruit.
Strengths/Pros: Tallest of the candidates, which certainly appeals to Self's combo guard philosophy. Displayed a 40% trey gun last year at Brewster. Described as having leadership skills, being a good passer/play maker, and being a good defender. Led Brewster to the national prep championship.
Weaknesses/Cons: Everything about his game is speculation, as it is unknown how any of the superlatives and praise used to describe his game will translate to the next level. A year behind the learning curve of the other PG candidates.
So that's the brief rundown. I included the rankings of these guys coming out of high school because I'm a firm believer (as others are, yet some aren't) that while the rankings aren't the gospel, they can be a useful guide. You're less likely to be a bust ranked in the top 50 than you are in the 50-100 range. I also am curious as to how close Graham plays to his ranking. I understand the whole deal where he wasn't getting looked at after signing with lowly Appalachian St., but I also wonder how much of his ranking might be inflated by the likes of KU & Florida recruiting him the second time around. Or to put it another way, to go from being unranked and signing a LOI with Appalachian St. to being ranked # 36 and signing with Kansas shows a meteoric rise. Embiid-like. Did he really get that much better in one season? It's possible.
Anyway, as I said before, no one can claim to have any great insight here. In my opinion, it's completely up in the air. I certainly don't have a good read on the situation. I really like both Mason & Frankamp, and am excited from what I've read and seen regarding Graham. If I had to venture a guess it is that the battle is going to be between CF & Mason. I think Graham will get minutes, most likely backing up to start the season, but if he impresses could possibly seize the starting role by the time conference play rolls around. Now between CF & Mason I'm really torn. On the one hand I see a little of Sherron/Tyshawn in Mason that I know Self likes. The ability to push the pace and to drive the lane. On the other hand, one of our weaknesses last year was 3 point shooting. Selden isn't likely to greatly improve, Oubre probably won't be as good as Wiggins shooting the 3 ball. Mason would likely be a downgrade from Tharpe last year shooting the trey. But Frankamp with regular minutes could provide that outside assassin. And he is steady and takes care of the ball.
I also think we might see something along the lines that we saw with Greene last year and that is the loser of the position battle not necessarily being in the rotation, but having a role to where he knows he's going to get on the court and get a few scraps of minutes.
It's unfortunate, as I really wish there were enough minutes to go around for all of these guys, much like I wish we had minutes to give to AW3. But minutes are limited, and the battle begins. And as HEM speculated, without minutes there's a great chance we could lose one to transfer next year. Before AW3, the transfers were by and large lower ranked players that while we might be sorry to see them go, it really wasn't a huge loss from a talent perspective. But now AW3, and next year maybe one of these guys...
At least in this case we can't blame the OAD phenomenon.