I never thought predicting a 30 point blow out would be too conservative.
But I nailed this one cleanly.
And board rats that think KU played poorly against UK are not letting in just how incredibly talented UK is and how many pieces this year's KU team is missing.
UK would be KU by 20-30 10 out of 10 times as things stand now.
KU did not shoot poorly, because it was having an off night shooting.
KU shot poorly, because KU has so far weak three point shooting, it runs no action to get three point shots, and even if it had guys that could gun the trey ball and even if it had run some action, UK was too long and KU was too short inside for UK not to simply stretch out as far as KU wanted to run the action and smother KU's shooters.
There is no way to hide KU's short inside players, each one with limited skill sets--not in a half court set.
Notice that UK was very happy to play it slow on both ends, because it fed directly into the enormous advantage of their overwhelming four near footers.
So: how did I know it was going to be such a blow out, when no one else, at least that I recall, predicted the same.
Because I recalled how much one footer like Withey, and then Embiid, transformed former KU teams with quite a few pieces, but not nearly enough, into formidable teams that could play top competition at least competitively and could win titles, and with two great players like TRob and Tyshaw, could milk it to a Final Two.
Multiply the effect of one footer (either Withey or Embiid) times four and add that Perry doesn't like to play the 4 against anyone longer than him, and Jam Tray is only 6-7 even with the hair, Cliff doesn't know D1 Speeds and violence, Lucas is a project without offense, and Self won't let Mickelson near the wood, and it was a million to one shot that KU would not be blown out. Never has the point spread made clearer that the point spread has nothing to do with what the score will actually be. It has to do with how many suckers believe how much hype and which way the hype is being heaped on.
Let's cut to the chase.
Mason isn't a D1 point guard.
Graham showed he doesn't really know what he's doing yet and that's why Mason got the start.
Selden is not a go get a basket guy except against guys smaller than him. B.B. King's thrill is gone. Selden's explosiveness is gone, as I have been speculating since last summer.
Oubre was a non-stop embarrassment. It was clear why Self had been hiding him. He didn't want Cal to know Oubre was sushi not even remotely cooked and ready to play.
Perry? Next.
Cliff could be something by January against inferior players, but it will be late January before he is ready just to play an all-league type even up.
Traylor? Next.
Svi looks great not making anything, but the bottom line is that most of the games we got feeds on from Eurasia, showed him shooting it just like what we have seen the first four games this season. He would be a great glue player if we had any impact players. But so far, Svi has shown nothing as far as a trey. Just a bunch of rim shots. And I think he is going to only be able to shoot a high percentage against guys he's taller than, or that cannot jump.
Greene was a huge disappointment for the second straight game. He is playing like he hasn't got it. Really, don't blame him. He's an ordinary player. He's not going to be ready for D1 till his junior season and then he will have a nice season and a Travis like senior year, if Self doesn't run him for OADs.
Lucas was 6-10 and couldn't even stay with their 6-10 guys. Next.
Mickelson? Self apparently feels he has to let Cliff, Oubre and Perry convince the fans and the players handlers that they suck and aren't ready before he is going to give Mickelson even a sniff of PT.
Bottom line: this KU does not have a single player on the team with the kind of talent and fight required to play an equal or better even up. This team is filled with guys that will only look good against players they are significantly better than.
There is not one Sherron Collins, or Mario Chalmers, or RR, or Travis, or even EJ that can go up against guys as good or better and out fight them for a win.
Could this change?
Yes, but not likely.
What this team desparately needs is ten games against inferior competition so it can learn how to run more than the first 20 pages of Self's play book.
I would not be at all surprised to see Rider clean their clocks even though gambling odds are that a badly beaten good team always comes roaring back. But i don't see this as a badly beaten good team. I see it right now as a badly beaten mediocre team at most.
And Self's performance?
Self contributed absolutely nothing.
He did not even need to make the trip.
It is the only time I can recall where he was useless as a coach.
If I were Self, I would be way more worried about what I did in Indianapolis, than what my team did.
What makes a great coach approach any game that way?
I don't know.
I'm not even sure I want to know.
Next.