Ah, the shifting winds of recruiting. As we've all heard by now, Chris Mullin pulled an incredibly baller move and stole the Diallo carpet out from under Calipari's feet. The big question is, with Slice at St. John's, has Mullin now tilted the scales enough to beat out Norm Roberts? I gave it a couple days to let the dust settle, but things couldn't be any less clear at this point.
For starters, Slice to St. John's is perhaps the slickest move, both tactically and strategically, that I've seen in recruiting in the past decade. Short term, you get the obvious in with Diallo, and long term, you get the guy with the best connections in the NY/NJ/Philly triangle, an area we've recruited heavily over the years (Twins, Robinson, Taylor to name a few). That's hardball, hardcore, tough nuts politicking. St. John's now has Cheick's lead recruiters from both ISU and UK. In fact, the move is so strong, it's virtually knocked UK out of consideration, and I thought they'd be our biggest competition given how lukewarm Cheick was to Mullin. But Mullin did what he had to do.
All hope is not lost, though. Last Thursday, the consensus was Diallo was all but mind made up on KU and ready to commit at the JBC. Even losing some ground, there'd be a long way to slide to lose this one. Mullin is still recruiting as though he's not going to have Diallo on his team, too. That could indicate that he's not as strong as he hoped he'd be even after the move, but he may just be being prudent. Diallo is a Nike prospect, but St. John's is UnderArmor, so it's unlikely that Nike is using any pull to move him in either direction. Norm Roberts is a great closer, too, and I'm sure he's preparing some great stuff to go for the kill. He'll be telling Diallo about Self's track record with getting bigs into the NBA. He'll point to the last kid from Africa that signed on the dotted line, injured his back and foot, and still went #3 in the draft. He'll mention the door is wide open on a potential title contender at KU, whereas at St. John's they'll be lucky to finish 4th in the waning Big East. If anyone can make this deal happen against these headwinds, it's Norm.
Still, the waters have been significantly muddied since last weekend. If Diallo stays on schedule and declares at the JBC or the day after, he's ours. But if he waits until next week, it's anybody's game. Heck, there are even a few die-hards saying ISU is in this, despite the KU v SJU consensus. Things aren't as rosy as they were, but I'm going to keep the faith on this one.