@HighEliteMajor
Haven't looked at the numbers, but anecdotally, I would say UW had more and better trey shooters than KU, but the stacks did not. The stacks stack athleticism and size (the variables of ceiling) first and foremost, and skills (the variables of foundation) second. This is why the stacks have such a hard time winning the rings and require so much assistance from referees to do so.
I strongly believe UW would have walked away easily with the national championship in a legitimately officiated Final Four. They would have beaten Duke by 15 easy, and probably by 20 with a 50/50 whistle. It appeared Duke was really not a very good "team" at all, and their OAD center appeared a flipping joke saved from total humiliation only by an apparently asymmetric whistle for the last 20 minutes.
Trey balling will eventually be the way to win at all levels of basketball, once all the old think of coaches gives way to the reality of statistics and probability and the realization that shooters will get more efficient as offenses and player selection and skill development focus more and more on three point making.
Basketball thinking is about as hidebound as boat design and that is really hidebound.
IMHO, the ONLY thing that prevented UW from winning was the referees arbitrary bias. Period.
Golden State is not an anomaly at all.
Golden State is the statistically driven future of the game.
Curry is not a freak, at all. He is just a great player that shows what other players can do, just as Luisetti once showed the way to the jump shot itself.
Golden State proves that the three ball is mightier than the greatest athletic freak on the planet, when the refs have not yet intervened decisively in Lebron's favor.
There are always way more unstoppable trey ballers than there are Lebrons. Waaaaaaay more.
There are always way more unstoppable trey ballers than there are superstar footers. Waaaaaaaaaaay more.
And this is not at all driven decisively by Curry being freakishly able to "create shots," which is just the latest rationalization for why the trey balling cannot really dominate the game, and why KU's great shooters cannot dominate the game. Curry is a great shooter and a good creator. But there have been tons of guys that can do what Curry does. They come along much more frequently than MJ's and Lebrons and super centers. At any given time in the history of the game since 1960, there have been several of them playing at the same time--easily enough to build a helluva three point shooting team out of. But the hide bound thinking of coaches has prevented the building of such teams coupled with the good defense that Golden State plays. People are way underestimating the quality of defense Golden State plays. They just have to make their commitment to defense in a different way given that they are organized around playing such defense with the abilities of their trey ballers.
There is no law handed down from basketball heaven that says good defense can only be played by superior defenders, any more than that good offense can only be played by superior offenders. Self regularly chooses superior defenders playing great defense and gets by with good offenders. There is no reason he cannot flip this around and play superior offenders and get by with them playing good, but not great defense. All basketball is strategic tradeoffs seeking the best net benefit between offense and defense resource allocation.
Curry is frankly not that unusual as a shooter. His coach is just the first NBA coach in quite some time with the vision necessary to build his offense around three balling, when he had a fine shooter like Curry.
Only the refs, or a horrendous shooting slump, can deny Golden State. Considering Lebron is on Cleveland, I am betting on the refs allowing enough asymmetry of contact by the Cavs beyond the trey stripe to induce a three point shooting slump by Golden State and a Cav win.
In the Age of the Shoe-Agent-Media-Gaming Complex regime, referees will always be used to "favor" the winner that stimulates the most revenues for the regime. There will be occasional referee failures, but they will be the exception and not the rule. And some of what seem "referee failures" will probably occur intentionally in service of Big Gaming.
The sport appears fixed at college and pro levels and until the appearances change, I am going to remain a skeptic of its legitimacy.
But if we leave the biases of fixing out of it, there is just no statistical way for teams tailored around good trey shooters shooting more threes and playing sound defense not to win most of the time against teams playing good defense and conventional offenses pissing away 3 point scoring opps taking 2 point shots. And the more threes you take, the greater your probability of outscoring a conventional offense, assuming both teams play not equal, but nearly equivalent defense. This is such no brainer that it is kind of pathetic to watch even the best coaches, like Self, but all of them really, wearing stochastic blinders. It must have felt somewhat like this, when Galileo looked at planets through his telescope, mastered the obvious, and told Christendom that the earth was not the center of the universe.
3 >2
This is as powerful a relational formula in basketball as E=mc^2 in physics.
Its up there with compound interest in finance and V=I/R in valuation.
The way to win big and often against any and all conventional offenses is to shoot the trey ball at a higher percentage and substantially more than an opponent, while playing nearly as good of defense.
To paraphrase Frank Lloyd Wright, "Less is more, only if more is not good."
Three is better than two only if your three shooters are not good.
And shot creation can always be accomplished a variety of ways. It NEVER has to rely on an individual creating his own shot, but it certainly can rely on that whenever you have such players.
Rock Chalk!