I think this is what defines our season. Did Dayton do enough with our rotation to make the playoffs? And to be frank, it really comes down to how durable Vargas is and how effective Karns can be. Rolling out a guy who gives up 5 runs in 5 innings every 5th day isn't going to cut it. Karns has to be a guy. Because Wood is going to end up in the rotation at some point this year. We aren't getting 180 innings out of all 5 of those guys. And Karn's Spring Training has been awful. Right in line with his ERA his entire career. I do think he has a future in the bullpen if he can't hack it in the rotation. But he has to be a solid reliable guy this year.
- Duffy 2-3 ERA
- Kennedy 3-4 ERA
- Hammel 3-4 ERA
- Vargas 3.5-4.5 ERA
- Karns 6-7 ERA
With our current roster, I think we will score some runs and still play well above average defense while we are at it. We have GG level fielders at 6 positions still. So, it really comes down to this. Can Duffy repeat his efforts last year, can Kennedy or Hammel be around a 2.8 ERA as well, and most importantly, can Karns not suck? If those things happen, we give ourselves a chance to win every single day. And I don't see how we don't make the playoffs. But, if two of those things don't happen, it could make for some tough decisions in July.