Executive summary: both guard hard and physical. UW relies more on the trey with three 40% trey ballers to UF's 2 and outscores UF nearly 4ppg. UF defends the rim sharply better. UW defends the trey slightly better. UF holds substantial edge over opponents on the boards. UW holds a slight edge over opponents on the boards. UW protects sharply better with 3.1 fewer TOs per game than UF. Blocks are nearly even. UF is +2 in steals over UW. UW leads UF decisively in FTA and FT%. You beat UW by protecting, keeping UW off the line and pushing its trey shooters 2 feet deeper and pressuring it into a few more TOs. You beat UF by banging and shoving its inside players to take away their athleticism in rim protection and rebounding and their rim scoring. You push Florida's two trey ballers two feet farther out. UW holds a counter intuitive edge in transition. It shoots so well and ends so many possessions in made FTs that it can afford not to care so much about rebounding edge, and so can release and get back on defense to STOP UF's transition game. UF, on the other hand, has to go to the glass on both ends, because it doesn't shoot well enough to win without dominating the glass. So: UF, which has the athleticism to beat UW in transition, won't be able to get in transition if UW is shooting well and getting back. But if UW shoots poorly and has to go get rebounds, then UF will get into transition and the game will be over. Both teams have tons of experience. In a big game called tightly, UF athleticism inside can trump Wisconsin muscle. It can keep UW off the line, wreck its inside shooting percentage, and push its trey shooters farther out. But if they let 'em play, which they usually do, Wisconsin, on a good trey shooting day, will almost certainly win. Florida's average FT shooting gets beat by UWs excellent FT shooting. Referees decide this game.
