The crux of the problem....
KJ's stats the past 3 years:
GP MIN FG% 3P% FT% REB AST BLK STL PF TO PTS
18 28.6 49.6 0.0 78.6 4.7 2.2 0.9 0.8 2.4 1.1 8.3
34 33.4 60.1 0.0 60.0 4.6 3.1 0.6 1.1 2.4 1.8 12.6
36 27.3 62.2 0.0 60.7 4.3 1.9 0.8 0.8 2.9 1.5 10.6
What leaps out? Consistency, but zero progression. Actually, his numbers are down this year - scoring and shooting percentage (precipitously). Braun, Ogbaji, Wilson and McCullar all stepped up their junior or senior seasons and took on the leadership, alpha role. KJ is he who he is - a solid role player, but only that. Arguably a dependable bench player rather than 30+ minute starter. Tough to win with a 4 as a starter who can't average 5 RBs, is shooting 40%, can't make a shot from outside the paint, and averages just two FTAs per game.
DaJuan's stats the past 4 years:
GP MIN FG% 3P% FT% REB AST BLK STL PF TO PTS
20 32.0 44.1 31.6 65.9 2.8 5.9 0.4 1.5 1.1 1.8 9.8
34 35.7 42.4 38.4 80.4 2.0 6.5 0.4 1.5 1.6 2.4 8.5
36 34.2 47.1 40.5 59.6 2.5 6.2 0.4 2.2 1.6 2.0 8.9
40 29.0 42.7 32.3 79.2 1.4 4.2 0.3 1.5 2.0 1.5 5.4
What leaps out? Consistency, but no progression. Juan is who is he is. A solid game manager and decent defender, but he needs to have better players around him. Tough to win with a PG who can't create his own shot, can't beat his defender off the dribble, can't finish drives, averages only 2 FTAs per game and doesn't make them consistently when he does get to the line. Yes, was PG on a national championship team, but there were 3 NBA players on that team, and it was the "back-up" PG who was often on the floor at critical times, because he could create his own shot and score.
Dickinson's stats the past 4 years:
GP MIN FG% 3P% FT% REB AST BLK STL PF TO PTS
21 29.9 52.6 22.2 79.7 9.7 2.2 1.4 1.1 2.1 1.8 16.4
33 32.2 54.8 35.4 62.4 10.9 2.3 1.4 0.9 2.2 1.8 17.9
34 32.7 56.0 42.1 72.7 9.0 1.5 1.8 0.5 1.9 2.0 18.5
32 32.3 56.3 32.8 80.2 8.6 2.3 1.5 0.5 2.7 2.0 18.6
What leaps out? Consistency, but no progression. Slight regression scoring and shooting % this year. He is who he is. A skilled low post scorer and solid rebounder, but who isn't a rim protector and is a defensive liability against stretch 5s and pick and rolls. As I noted in another thread, his strengths don't seem to be enough to overcome his weaknesses. His teams will have had double digit losses each of the past 4 years (assuming we will lose at least 4 more this year).
With those 3 as starters, you have to have guys at the 2 and 3 who can make up for their limitations - who can light it up from outside, regularly attack the rim and finish or get to the FT line, and who can defend the perimeter and keep their opponent from getting into the paint - not just one of those attributes (Griffen from 3 or Storr to attack, for example), but all three. And, we don't have any close to that. McCullar gave us close to that last year, which is why we were better than we are now until he got hurt.
The issue is and has been roster construction - over-reliance on solid role players who aren't close to having NBA level talent, and completely whiffing on transfers the past two years. To compete for a national championship, you have to have multiple NBA level players on the roster - we do not....