KU has triumphed over a very tough set of road opponents early.
But now KU faces another kind of challenge.
It is the dreaded Wednesday, Saturday, Monday set of games culminating against a good opponent you have to beat to get a split that will have played a Monday, Saturday, Monday set of games.
Iowa State has an unfair advantage because the accrued fatigue factor is going to be much greater on KU than ISU.
In an identical schedule situation, KU would almost certainly beat ISU. But its not.
So: KU is really playing the schedule the next three games, not the opponents.
ISU wouldn't have to win in Lawrence, because it won in Ames, and and so all ISU would be needing to do was try to steal a win in AFH. But these are not normal circumstances, because ISU dug a little hole for itself by losing to TTech.
So: ISU has a lot of pressure on to win in AFH just to get back into the race.
Alas, KU is going to come into that ISU game on Monday night in AFH having played TCU in Fort Worth, Wednesday, a in-state rivalry game with KSU at AFH at 1pm Saturday.
There are a lot things suck about that scheduling and they all have to do with KU being a young team and ISU being more experienced.
First, there is the timing within the season. KU is a young team and young teams are already finding this time of the season beyond their high school envelopes.
Second, there is the fact that young teams have less experience at pacing themselves for these clumpy scheduled stretches.
Third, there is the fact that young teams are not as used to having a bunch of game plans stacked on them early on to get them ready for three games in short succession.
Fourth, KU really needs to win the ISU game to because its a home game against a team it lost to on the road, and, as I said, ISU is going to be highly motivated to win it to get back into the race.
Fifth, playing a must win game, like ISU, on the heels of a rivalry game, is a very tall order for a young team.
So, how is Self likely to manage this three game set?
All three are must win games. TCU is one of the road wins you figure you have to win. KSU is a home game against a rival breathing down your throat in second place, so you have to have it. ISU is a team you lots to on the road so you have to have it at home.
You sure cannot amp three straight games Wednesday, Saturday, Monday.
You are coming off a peak performance versus Texas, so you have to expect a psychological let down with a young team. That means it is going to come on the road against a bottom tier team in TCU, which is good and bad. Its good because of the three, TCU should be the best team to have to win one in the bottom third of your performance distribution. It is bad, because its on the road and Trent Green likes to rough teams up.
Self has almost no choice but to send them out flat, and substitute like hell, to try to save legs the entire game, even if it means getting upset. If TCU were to upset us, then we could correct the loss on the back nine.
The big question then is who to amp for: KSU, or ISU?
Its scary, but I think you've got to amp for KSU, even if it means getting swept by ISU on Monday night.
Why?
The worst case scenario is losing to KSU on Saturday, then ISU on Monday.
You know ISU is going to leave it all on the floor Monday night to try to get back in the running regardless.
KSU is likely going to leave it all on the floor Saturday to try to steal one on the road from the league leader.
What you are hoping is that Texas bounces back from its defeat to KU and destroys ISU in Ames tomorrow night. This means ISU is on the ropes for the rest of the conference chase.
So you amp for KSU to nail down a home win against your conference rival and closest team on your heels, because ISU has lost to Texas.
Then you try to grind out a win against ISU on your home floor, even though your legs are not going to favor you.
Thus you have assured a 2-1 record and possibly with some luck a grinder and 3-0 versus ISU.
At that point, you have a week off before going to Gallagher-Iba for an OSU game you amp for because you follow with a Tuesday game against TTech you ought to win.
If KU were to win out against TCU, KSU, and ISU, then pick up another pair against OSU and TTech, KU would be very, very, VERY tough to beat for the title.
But given how young KU is, its very likely to come up with an L against ISU, a team it would kick under almost any other cirucumstance.