@jayhawk-007
If I were Self and Cliff were going to jump, and I had Perry, Traylor and Lucas returning, plus Bragg committed, but all the other OAD bigs possible but not probable, I think I would just play Cliff about half time, and develop Traylor and Lucas as much as possible for next season. If Cliff were to commit to next season, he would be playing 30 mpg. But the harsh reality of this OAD stuff is that OADs are using coaches and coaches have to use OADs. I just don't see anyway around it. Self has no choice but to deal in what appears to be the current system: adidas apparently cannot deliver OAD stacks the way Nike appears to be able to do. So: since he is not really in the running for most of the OADs bigs, he has no choice but to work with what he has. Who he has right now now are Ellis, Traylor and Lucas now and next year. He has Cliff now. Cliff is more productive, but if Self can use Cliff for 15 mpg to subsidize the development of Traylor and Lucas, he pretty much has to do it. We know that there is a way to use Cliff to make this team net better. It is not b2b. and it is not attacking from outside on the dribble. It is running him end to end and beating the opposing team's bigs for a few open seconds on each end. If he keeps Cliff fresh Cliff can do that at the end of the season AND Self can develop Traylor and Lucas for next year. For Self to do more with Cliff he would have to develop Cliff a bunch this season without a payoff next season. It is hard, but it adds up to me. Self owes a player nothing that isn't coming back. And what was Cliff's alternative? He was going to go to UK and play half time as a backup, too. For all we know, it was part of the deal of Cliff coming to KU that he would only play 15-20 mpg, same as it was apparently part of the deal for the OADs going to UK. It increasingly appears that OADs don't WANT to play 30-35 mpg their first seasons and leave it all on the floor. Injury risk is not something they want to take what with a certain pay check in less than 6 months, if uninjured. The only question in my mind about Cliff, however, is injury, or sickness. Every time they show close ups of him, his eyes look puffy and his skin color looks a bit odd. But the possibility of injury and/or sickness seems low probability. The more likely dynamic is Oubre has committed to coming back and Cliff has not. Oubre is worth developing and Cliff is not, or so it would appear. Once Bragg signed, unless Cliff were to commit to another year, what Cliff can give you without further development over the next two months (and he probably can't improve much over the next two months), he can give you whether you develop Traylor, and Lucas, with 20 of his minutes, or not. The productivity numbers indicate that Cliff would be playing if other things were equal. But as I have laid out above, other things are not equal. Self has gotten the team to 19-4 and in the lead of the conference, developing Lucas and Traylor and playing Cliff sparingly. To Self everything is increasingly about concentrating on winning, not on other things. If you can win with Cliff only playing 15-20 mpg and develop Lucas and Traylor for next year, you would be a damned fool not to do it, when you've got Bragg committed to replace Cliff. KU might have beaten OSU yesterday with Cliff playing 30 mpg, or Cliff might have gotten fouled up, or made more TOs than Traylor under pressure. We won't ever know that counter-factual. But what we do know is that KU had an off game, that it lost by only 5, that its still in first place, and that Traylor and Lucas got a bunch more PT and they both sure as hell need it, with Perry coming up soft again, Cliff apparently leaving and Bragg and other newbies probably needing half a season to get their acts together.
My guess is we will see Cliff's minutes go up sharply whenever KU's lead in the conference standings shrinks appreciably, as it just did, and shrink sharply when that lead increases. Just as Self spends leads in the scores of games to shorten the games, I believe he now spends conference leads with increasing player development minutes. You only need to win a game by one point. You only need to win a conference title by a half a game. Next season always has to be prepared for, as surely as this season has to be played.