Don't think ESPN is hitching their Wagon on KU anymore.
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/insider/story/_/id/22596994/high-seeds-danger ↗
No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks
Even though BPI rates Xavier as the worst No. 1 seed by a decent margin, the current batch of second-round opponents for the top seeds are, overall, a worse matchup for Kansas.
The Jayhawks, who rank seventh overall in BPI, have three major weaknesses: depth, rebounding and Udoka Azubuike's free throw shooting. The bench plays just 20.1 percent of minutes available, the fourth-lowest rate in Division I, per KenPom. Although that is not explicitly a factor in either BPI or our Giant Killers model, it does suggest that the Jayhawks are permanently on thin ice with their bigs. Azubuike's free throw shooting -- on consecutive attempts Monday vs. Texas, he hit the backboard and then air-balled short -- certainly could force the star big man to the bench at times in late, close-game situations. And their struggles on the boards makes the Jayhawks susceptible to matchup problems against certain types of teams. Missouri, Kansas' worst-case scenario among current No. 8 and No. 9 seeds, barely has a positive GK Factor over the Jayhawks but rebounding is the reason it is positive at all. Missouri would have a 26 percent chance to beat Kansas on a neutral court, while Kansas averages an 81 percent chance to win against the entire current group of possible second-round opponents.
http://www.espn.com/sportsnation/story/_/id/22586745/predictions-every-conference-tournament ↗
Our pick: West Virginia
Kansas has won just one of the past four Big 12 tournaments, despite winning the regular-season title each season, and West Virginia has lost in the title game each of the past two seasons. The Mountaineers’ Press Virginia style is draining on opponents on short rest.
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/22519688/jay-bilas-gets-set-march ↗
Kansas hasn't looked like a top-five team for much of the season, but the Jayhawks might have the best pure résumé in the country in terms of wins. Their Quadrant 1 record is 11-3 and their Quadrant 1 and 2 record is an astonishing 18-5, both tops nationally. A 14th straight Big 12 regular-season title is another feather in their cap. Like Xavier, they lack elite wins.