kjayhawks said:
@justanotherfan It will be interesting to see which squad is better but my money is heavily on the 2019-20 squad being better. If our line up is Dotson, Moss, Ochai, SDS and Doke, there is a chance we lose all 5 starters to graduation and the NBA draft. Then we could lose Mitch too, if he dont redshirt. I'd bet at least 4 of the 6 mentioned are gone and replacing that many starters and improving seems unlikely.
Part of why I think the 2020-21 group will be better is that of the group you listed above, only Dotson and Ochai are likely to be true difference makers.
Doke is very good, but we know his strengths and flaws at this point. He's going to average 13 and 7 if he stays healthy, but he's not a 20 and 10 or 20 and 12 guy.
Moss, same thing. He's a good player, but we know what we are going to get - likely 10-14 points per game, with some good three point shooting. He's not going to show up and average 17 for us all of a sudden.
SDS is a bit of an unknown, but I don't think he will morph into some sort of superstar. I think he will be a more refined energy player. I see him averaging something like 8 and 8.
Dotson could take a big leap if his shooting is progressing. Otherwise, I would imagine he's more efficient than last year, but not necessarily a bigger threat without adding some shooting.
Ochai, somewhat similar. He flashed some big time potential, but wasn't consistent throughout the season with that. He should be a very solid starter, but I don't know if he's All American (or even All Conference first team) level.
The 2020-21 group should have more shooting, which is an area that next year's team is at least thin in, potentially lacking outside of Moss. While Doke is a great player, you almost have to play him with additional rebounders/rim protectors because he's not as good at those things as his size suggests he should be. That tends to clog the floor. The 2021 team should be able to space the floor better and get even more efficient offensively, whether Dotson returns or not.