@konkeyDong
Very nice rundown. I like the detailed summary of teams especially the what-if situations in Maui.
I like the optimism for an undefeated non-con. At the moment I don't think we will go through that schedule without a loss but as we've seen with UK last year, the more you win and stay undefeated the more pressure mounts. You want to lose at least a few because you learn from those loses.
Our toughest game early is clearly Michigan St. They are a tough team to project as usually Izzo's teams are a shell of themselves in the non-con part. The team we played in Orlando last year was not even 10% of the juggernaut he had rolling at season's end. Right now their best player (Transfer Harris) is still suspended indefinitely. So we definitely catch this team at an opportune moment. Valentine, Forbes, Costello, Schilling form a nice core and then you add in everything else. Davis was a big time catch, he should start from day 1. Harris will start if eligible. I think KU will win this game because of it will be better prepared for early success. Izzo will have this team ready for March.
In Maui there isn't a team nearly as talented as KU but Indiana is a team that could be very dangerous. They shoot it and often and that can be a recipe for upset especially early in the season. They will likely play a Zone against us as well which we always struggle to play against. I think if we meet Indiana its the 2nd most likely loss in the schedule. UCLA should be good this year with additional depth. I don't think a freshman will start for them as Alford showed he could facilitate & score just fine.
The Harvard game should be a blowout. Losing Sanders & Moundou-Missi is huge for them. They have had great success lately but this year will be a major step down. Visiting KU and likely having to start 3 new players I smell blowout city.
Oregon St. will be a scrappy team. How much the new players help them early will determine how close this game could be. Don't see anyway they beat us but they did play us tough before here.
San Diego St. is our #1 most likely loss in the non-con. They have developed a great home-court advantage and traveling to their gym is basically their Super-Bowl this year. They are a tournament team & a great defensive squad. They will rely heavily on a freshman to make shots which was their glaring weakness all of last year. Pope should also be a key player for them after only playing half the year. He's been projected to be a 1st round pick this upcoming year. This will be a drag out low scoring game. If KU is really a serious title contender they will find a way to lean on their experience and more talented team to win. A loss to them will not harm us in any way.
The Kentucky game: You know those road games in Big 12 play where KU should roll by 30 points but yet the 8th man in the rotation decides to have a career game from 3 and a frenzy crowd keeps the other team in it? Except this time it will be KU that is the jacked up team. Expect to see a spectacle in this one. I think KU will overwhelm them because of the revenge factor. The only saving grace for them is the game is played well into the season where the Wildcats will have established their identity.I still think it will be a double digit win as Self and the team looks to bury the hatchet from last years debacle.
So I have KU losing 1 game in the nonconf schedule. (poss. Indiana), Michigan St, (poss. UCLA), Oregon St could challenge us because of the neutral site factor but I think the UK game in Allen is a huge advantage for us this year. If we make it out of this good schedule with little hiccups then we can start to visualize how far this team can go.