Let me say it feels good to get my prediction mojo back for a second straight game. It feels especially good this game because Vegas was +7 1/2 and KENPOM was closer still.
But I picked Oubre to be the Hawk to Rock and though he scored 14 and glassvacced 6, I predicted 20-30 tonight. NOT!
Mason dominated this one with 16 points the hard way--shooting poorly inside and outside but going 9-11 at the charity stripe--and incredibly getting NINE REBOUNDS!!!! Mason is ridiculously good at rebounding for a short point guard.
Looking at the box score one sees pretty much what one saw looking at the game--two teams that muddied it up because neither could shoot worth a darned, two teams that stripped and blocked about the same, and one team--KU--that baked more poptarts (KU +4 TOs) but wiped their butts on the glass (KU +17 overall and +6 on the offensive glass).
Perry played his increasingly usual bad game redeemed some by hustle and some by defense and some by rebounding.
Selden played his increasingly usual uninspired game but for a defensive play or two on a transition. His line score was anemic and yet he was good glue and good defense. He plays increasingly like Brady Morningstar with the ability to get up for a block or two that Brady would not make. He even shoots 1-2 from trey Brady used to shoot. I liked Brady a lot. I like Wayne a lot. Wayne just passes the eye test and so we expect more from him. But I said screw the eye tests with Brady, so I say screw the eye tests with Wayne. Without his hops, he has turned into a solid glue man and this team needs every base covered it can.
Traylor started and never got into his face to the basket mobile big man attack platform game. His line score was pitiful: 0 rebounds, 0 blocks, and 0 steals from our energy man.
The bench saw solid play from Graham guarding Forte well, assisting well, and making timely baskets and FTs.
The BRD, Cliff Alexander, was productive in low minutes, but 3 PFs ensured this would not be a break out game.
Landen Lucas saw a lot of minutes the second half and didn't do much, but he did grab four boards, guard the post well and did not turn it over. He did no harm.
Bottom line KU played bad, OSU played worse, KU is 14-2, and ready to sneak off with an early conference lead.
After being my most pessimistic ever about a Self team, my prediction is: KU wins the conference with two losses. Tying with three losses is another possibility, but I am sticking with two losses.
I have no good reason.
Just a hunch.