Late Season Dissection
I'll dissect the later part of our conference season and point to key factors.
Let's start it when our season really started to matter. The OU game at home. We were up by 19 at half, and fell behind in the second half, only to come on late and win 85-78 in a gun fest. Self hates these kinds of games because you just can't ever seem to score enough to win safely. It always comes down to getting a stop on defense at some point. But we survived.
Next game was at Texas. Self had plenty of ammo to get his guys pumped up for this game, and he brought a team ready for Texas. In my opinion, this was the high point of our season. We won that game with plenty of control and poise. We shot 18 3s and only hit 6, and we still won and never seemed really threatened. The key to this game was ball possession. We only turned the ball over 3 times. And we only gave up 2 extra boards to a tall Texas team. Self seemed happy. And the guys didn't face his angst from only shooting 33% from 3. Our post shot only 43%.
Then we went to TCU for our trap game, and held on. We only shot 8 3s that game, but hit 3 of them. This was a vital game for Self. We didn't count on the 3 and we won on the road by playing tough defense. Or you could look at it through more realistic eyes and just admit that TCU stunk.
Next, a home game with the Purple Kitties. This game was decided by our superiority in the paint over the Kitties post play, even though the stats say we should have just hoisted up more 3s.
Next, the revenge match with ISU at home. We torched the nets from 3.... 47% and earned ourselves 30 points from beyond the arc. That was the biggest difference in the game.
Then came our heartbreak loss at OSU. This was the game that broke the camel's back. Not really the camel, but Self's allowance for us to finally declare our identity as a perimeter shooting team. We shot 50% from 3 and we lost. How can that happen? Maybe because we had 18 TOs, many leading to easy baskets. Or the fact that we shot only 52% from the line and gave up too much charity. This is when Self mentally started changing his mind on the season concerning his focus AWAY from the 3.
From here we went to TT. We smoked the nets from 3 at 55%. Self disapproved and labeled our success from the perimeter as "fool's gold."
Ever since that declaration of "fool's gold" this team has started their descent.
Next game was Baylor at home. We were back to shooting 33% from 3. And we shot 46% from 2. Baylor played pretty good d.
Then the loss at WVU. We shot 54% from 3 but only put up 11. We were already undergoing Self's push away from the 3. There were plenty of open look 3s this team didn't take.
Next... our alarming win at home against TCU. A game that shouldn't have been close. We only shot 10 3s and hit 4. We relied on our post, and we did shoot 58% from 2. This home win was a struggle, We gave up 72 points from an inferior TCU team on our home court. I became nervous after this game because I could see the wheels coming off.
Last, the Kitties yesterday. We only shot 13 3s, and really, we only took about 3 or 4 good look 3s. The rest were forced after running ineffective offense trying to force the hi/lo. I'm afraid this just further pushes Self into his delusion that 3s are "fool's gold." It was clear that he forced our guys into complete hi/lo basketball. Perry had a monster game and we lost. Do we all believe the "fool's gold" that Perry can always bring 20+ points to a game? And even if he can, we can still lose to a sub-500 team.
He really sacrificed this team out to prove his point.
I look at it like he was the trainer of Carl Lewis a year before the Olympics and he spent this year training Carl to run backwards. Even if he figured out a month before the games that was wrong and started training him to run forwards, it is too late. I feel like we are in that position now.
There is no way to go backwards (I mean forwards) and reset the identity of this team to it's natural being (a perimeter shooting team). It's too late.
We don't have the defensive quality to salvage subpar offense. Our only choice this year was to play to our strengths and get every ounce of offense out of this team and turn them into overachievers. You know... like the Mayor is doing over at ISU. Be willing to accept some high scoring races to the finish line. Even though we all about stroked out in that OU game... it was the beginning of a 5-game winning streak!
I really feel like this season's tone changed after Self started talking about "fool's gold." It seems to be supported when analyzing what has happened since that time. This isn't the same team that won 5 in a row and won at Texas. That comment started our trajectory downwards. Our natural identity was shattered.
I'm not expecting any more break out games from Brannen Greene this year. Might as well put him on ice for next year. And from the way we are playing now, that won't be very much longer.
I want to give a pat on the back to all our guys for fighting hard last night. They brought effort and they tried to execute Self's plan, and they almost won a game they had almost no chance of winning. Perry... tremendous game!