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Lagerald vs Svi
Oct 12, 2016 03:30 PM #1

I just spent a few minutes looking over our roster.

It appears that we have two players that will be THE BENCH for positions PG-3.... Lagerald and Svi.

I believe Lagerald will get most of his minutes at the 2 this year, except in moments when both Lagerald and Svi are at the 1 and 2 spots and we are bound to give Lagerald a shot at PG.

We are really thin in our bench when considering that we only have two guys to help out at 3 positions. Maybe Mitch Lightfoot can sneak in some minutes at the 3?

For the sake of discussion, I would like to just consider spare minutes at the 2-spot. If everything else is equal, which player is more likely to perform best at the 2, Lagerald or Svi? We don't seem to know much about Lagerald's current level of play, except from hearing Bill rave about his recent development. Will Lagerald become "the man" for relief minutes at the 2 this year? So will we always have either Frank or Devonte on the court (except for mop up minutes), and one of them will always cover PG duties?

In my mind, the relief minutes this year for Lagerald and Svi will look something like this:

Legerald - 80% of his minutes at the 2, 20% at PG

Svi - 80% of his minutes at the 3, 20% at the 2

In the past, I looked at these two and thought there may be some heavy competition for minutes at the same spot. It doesn't look like that now.

With the extra strength added by Svi, he now seems to be falling into the 3-spot as his natural position.

The only thing I am sure about with these two players is their importance to our success this year. BOTH PLAYERS are very important and there is a good chance one or both will receive quite a bit of media attention at some point this year, when they are counted on to pull some major weight.

It would be great if others would throw in their two cents on this topic. And if anyone has experienced Lagerald's play over the past months, to share their opinion.

Oct 12, 2016 03:52 PM #2

I've kind of been out of it for a while but has Self said Jackson has the starting role sealed up or are we just assuming that? It seems to me there could be a little healthy competition for our OAD at that 3 spot. Svi is STILL young enough to have the "potential" label, plus he has experience. The 3 spot traditionally under Self has been a 3 pt shooting role, which is apparently JJ's weak spot.

Also, last year Self experimented with Svi at point a couple of times. He definitely has the vision. The handles? Maybe not. It certainly will be interesting to see Vick's progression. All I know is that I read he shot 1000 jumpers a day or something like that.

Instead of looking at it as 2 bench players to cover 3 starter spots, I think it's more beneficial to think about it as 5 players cover 3 positions on the floor. The real question is the point guard spot. Will Self rotate Mason and Graham enough to keep them fresh or will he play them together a majority of the time forcing one or both to play BIG minutes risking injury and guaranteeing wear and tear?

Oct 12, 2016 03:56 PM #3

@drgnslayr I haven't seen ball handling/distribution from Vick that would make me think he could be a good PG so Svi would be my first PG3 option.

Personally, I would even rank Josh Jackson as a better emergency PG option than Vick. Granted this is off an extremely small sample size of watching both of them play.

Oct 12, 2016 04:07 PM #4

@drgnslayr Here's a question, Is there any possibility of Clay Young or Tyler Self or Tucker Vang getting spot duties at PG, SG? Would Coach Self trust his sons abilities during his senior year to give him minutes at PG or SG to spell Frank and DG if needed? Not that we are in a crunch for players here like we were in 11-12 when our bench consisted of Conner Teahan

Oct 12, 2016 04:08 PM #5

@Lulufulu No.

Oct 12, 2016 04:08 PM #6

Vick will be the backup 2, with some backup at 1 and 3. His defense will get him more PT out of position than Svi. Vick will rarely play the 1 because that will go to Mason and Graham 95% of the time. It will be rare to see Self take them both out, and when he takes one out, the other will play point. So Vick will play the 2 the vast majority of the time, sometimes coming in at the 3 for defense and/or small ball with JJ playing the 4.

JJ will start at the 3 and convert to the 4 spot during small ball. Zero chance he won't start right off the bat.

Oct 12, 2016 04:29 PM #7

@chriz said:

Vick will rarely play the 1 because that will go to Mason and Graham 95% of the time.

That sounds right. So Mason and Graham will sit together for 2 minutes.

For 38 minutes, at least one of them will be on the floor.

Self will want them to play together for 30 minutes at least.

That leaves 8 minutes rest to split between the two players. So on average they will play 34 minutes a game, unless the wheels come off when one or both are sitting.

Mason's twitter handle should be @NickedUP

So that leaves 10 minutes at the 2 spot and 2 minutes at PG: Vick

Svi replaces Jackson for breathers, foul trouble and occasional brain lock.

The dynamic will change with foul trouble or injuries, until which I'm giving Vick the preseason "Hunter Mickelson Cryogenic Award".

Oct 12, 2016 05:37 PM #8

@drgnslayr Back this post up and copy it to the new site man!

This is one that I would like to see continued into the winter.

Another added thought regarding perimeter roster depth. Bill Self likes to have an 8 man rotation, solid. Case and point the 2008 team. Starting 5 plus Sherron, Kaun and Cole/Rodrick.

We got that now with equal experience coming off the bench this year Our starting 5 plus Junior Svi, Soph Vic, Fresh Udoka. We still have Lightfoot and Coleby there too.

Its hard to compare the two teams because there are a lot of fundamental differences. But I think we have every bit as much chance to match the win loss total of our NC team.

Oct 12, 2016 06:18 PM #9

I listened to JNewells podcast yesterday and he was talking about Vick. He said just watching them practice/scrimmage for ten minutes he could tell no difference between him and Josh Jackson. Now, he's not saying LG is as good as JJ, but in short flashes he showed a lot of game. We saw that last year. He's the 2nd year player that I am most excited about. Bragg, if reports aren't being exaggerated, will be very good this year too. But LG has got to get these minutes and he'll become valued member of this years team.

Oct 12, 2016 06:33 PM #10

@benshawks08

Jackson had the job when he signed!

Svi has a role on this team but he has to keep improving because there's considerable reports now that Vick has improved to the point where he will play and may play a lot

Oct 12, 2016 06:46 PM #11

@drgnslayr

Mitch is not an option at the 3. We have major problems if that is the option we are put into.

I think you nailed it on the %'s. Vick is going to see most of his time at the 2 guard spot and if he's trusted to handle the ball, maybe some PG responsibilities. It seems he has really stepped up during this off-season which I was hoping he would do. I will be shocked if he doesn't have a 20 pt scoring game at some point this season. He is wired to score.

I actually think Svi would be the emergency PG just because he's done it before at KU. I don't anticipate we'll need him to be that guy often but if we have big leads in games I would certainly like to see Svi & Vick getting some minutes with the ball just in case there is ever a situation.

Absolutely agree on their importance. Both of them are in a position to help us win games. Guard play wins in March and we have so many options to throw at teams. It's equally important that Bill Self doesn't lose sight of his strengths this year. Give these guards freedom to make plays, its how this team will succeed. If this isn't an outside to inside team we will fall short of our lofty goals for this season.

Oct 12, 2016 07:21 PM #12

I think he fits the lead guard requirement and could bring the ball up the court against most teams.

Oct 12, 2016 08:07 PM #13

Five guys on the perimeter is Self's preferred rotation. We have five perimeter guys that we can solidly trust, so we are good there.

Additionally, we have Malik Newman for practice reps so that Frank and Devonte don't get too worn down since Newman can work with the second team in practice. That should keep everyone's legs fresh even during the grind of conference season.

So, as long as no one suffers a long term injury, we should be fine through the season. If, however, any of our main five guys goes down with an injury that will keep them out for more than a week or so, the toll could become too great and we may need to tag in one of the walk ons for spot duty (2 minutes per half) just to try and keep everyone fresh.

The nice thing is that there are 120 minutes to go around, and with five guys, we can give everyone 20-30 minutes without over-taxing anyone.

Oct 12, 2016 08:31 PM #14

@justanotherfan said:

with five guys, we can give everyone 20-30 minutes without over-taxing anyone.

But we won't.

That being said, nice post as usual.

Oct 12, 2016 09:28 PM #15

Vick will be a very nice surprise. Even Fraschilla seems impressed ↗...

Oct 12, 2016 09:32 PM #16

@BeddieKU23

I believe Vick could play 3 in a pinch. Also, I would not be surprised to see Lightfoot play some 3; he likes to bang inside but he also has a decent outside touch. I wish Ellis would have started playing the 3 earlier but unfortunately KU did not have many options at the 4, this year KU is deeper at the 4 and Lightfoot could well play some 3.

Oct 14, 2016 12:30 AM #17

Could we see Bragg at the 3 if Udoka is in with Lucas?

Oct 14, 2016 02:08 AM #18

I think we will see Svi more at the 3 spot and Vick play the 1 and 2 spots. DG cant play PG as well, kinda like the 08 team as in 3 guys can bring it up the floor (Robinson, Chalmers and Collins). I also think with Self hinting at going small we could see Bragg or lightfoot get some PT at the 3 spot I like our depth a lot personally. I hope Mason doesn't average 38 minutes a game this year, that's tough on a guy for 35+ games. I like a starting line up of Mason, Graham, Jackson, Bragg and Lucas, a tall (outside of mason), long, very athletic team that can defend and push the ball at will. Then Vick, Svi, Udoka and lightfoot as subs. I know self usually likes his 8 or 9 man rotation so I doubt any else gets a ton of PT outside of mop up time. I don't really see Coleby getting a ton of minutes this year coming off of his injury but who knows till we get a few weeks in and see who has made the best of their time.

Oct 14, 2016 02:40 AM #19

@kjayhawks if we go small I think he'll be using josh or Svi at 4, Bragg or Lucas at 5. Having 2 6'8" wings is a bonus. Not sure Bragg could guard a quick 3, like Naz long for example. Lots of options w/this group. Can't wait to see what they can do. It all starts w/D

http://cjonline.com/sports/2016-10-13/kevin-haskin-no-mystery-starting-five-kansas-can-attack-difficult-early-tests ↗

Oct 14, 2016 02:58 AM #20

Josh

http://www.kansascity.com/sports/college/big-12/university-of-kansas/article108123817.html ↗

Oct 14, 2016 03:59 AM #21

I don't see putting Bragg at the 3. We lose the advantage that way. Who is going to guard Lucas or Buke or Coleby more than 10 feet from the basket? Nobody. So the moment you isolate Bragg downlow against a smaller player then he gets doubled. Won't work this season.

Now putting JJ or Svi at the 4 strictly depends on whether or not Buke or Coleby can play. If Lightfoot gets time this season either he is a competitor like Kevin Young or we are not doing so hot.

I don't see both Coleby and Buke being guys that struggle though. One of them will be ready to play 20+ mpg if not both of them playing 15 mpg.

I hope Buke just is too much to handle down low and we have the depth to dominate.

Oct 14, 2016 05:54 AM #22

http://ksnt.com/2016/10/13/ku-basketball-holds-media-day-in-preparation-of-2016-17-season/ ↗

Oct 14, 2016 09:53 AM #23

It sounds as if Self really is open to playing a 4 guard lineup.

Saying its dictated because of personnel is a reflection of just how far away Coleby & Udoka are from being reliable options in the post. That is the underlying message I got from him being so open about this flexibility in his offense

Going to be an interesting season.

Oct 14, 2016 11:02 AM #24

Self has to have the 4-guard option. That doesn't mean he will necessarily use it.

If Lucas and Bragg can both play 30 minutes and Udoka / Coleby share 20, then for that game the 4-guard option is...optional.

Those are ifs.

There are ifs in the other direction: if there is foul trouble; if there is injury trouble; if Udoka / Coleby don't come through. In that case playing 4 guards becomes a necessity.

I am sure playing small would be pleasing to the eye and to the won/loss record.

I am also sure it would mean more minutes for Frank and Devonte. How many of you want that?

Please, bigs, carry your weight!

Oct 14, 2016 12:45 PM #25

@ParisHawk

The 4 guard lineup could also be a consideration because of the makeup of the Big-12 this year. Down league for bigs, lots of guard oriented teams.

Maybe he's taking some pointers from what happened to us against Villanova. Beaten by a bunch of guards/wings and 1 post player. He's seen enough of ISU's action to know a guard heavy rotation with the right personnel works. We have that in theory this year.

The other side of it is getting his 5 best players on the court. Jackson & Svi or Jackson & Vick on the court seems like an offensive paradise paired with Bragg! Defensively, eh I'll wait to see if, in fact, it does happen.

Oct 14, 2016 01:09 PM #26

The formula never changes.

As usual, guard your man, help, protect, feed the post, and don't let it stick keep you in the rotation.

Stealing possessions and making open looks get you more minutes

Vick and Svi are fighting for the same backup minutes at 2 and 3.

Self will juggle Frank and Devonte at 1 90% of the time.

The best ball handler between Vick and Svi will get trained in the 10% of pg minutes for the rainy day of injury to Frank, or Devonte.

Svi will probably be the guy if equal, because of seniority and experience.

But Vick was way young last season in age and could make a nonlinear leap in neural net grow in and steal the job because Self needs a long ball handler/defender for occasional matchups!

Oct 14, 2016 01:16 PM #27

@BeddieKU23 I read you with great respect as always, but what about Frank's minutes and his degree of nickeduptness in March?

Oct 14, 2016 02:04 PM #28

@jayhawkeyes I honestly don't think we will see Lucas and Udoka on the floor together very much if not at all. These are two really good players that do not complement each other very well. Neither is very mobile (guarding a quick 4, having to switch a screen or defend screen and roll) and neither is that great of a passer (I haven't seen Udoka play very much yet). Both of them could create their own shots down low, rebound and set a heck of a screen. But I just don't see them playing together very often

Oct 14, 2016 02:32 PM #29

@ParisHawk

Very good point Mason had a hobbled body in March. Unless he finds a way to take less of a punishment while having the same impact on the floor,we are probably at the mercy of his health.

It's his last go-around, he should know that he can be aggressive, get into the lane and not take as much of a punishment as he's taken in the past. Something like a controlled chaos would help him.

Oct 14, 2016 02:35 PM #30

@Statmachine Nice video, but good grief, don't those refs know what a carry violation is?

Oct 14, 2016 03:35 PM #31

@BeddieKU23

I think "dictated by personnel" is more of a reflection of the fact that the most talented players on this roster are Jackson, Graham, Bragg, Mason and Svi. Vick, Lucas, Udoka, Coleby, Lightfoot, etc. can all play, but four of the best five guys on this roster are perimeter players, maybe 5 of the best 6, but definitely 5 of the best 7.

Given that, you have to consider playing four of those guys at once, especially since Jackson and Svi are both big enough to handle some 4's, and Vick can easily slide 1-3 against most college teams. It's not a lineup I would show a lot, but it's a lineup that has merit because you have to get your best players on the floor together and a lineup of Mason-Graham-Svi-Jackson-Bragg is arguably the best five KU has. I think Lucas and the other bigs will bring something to the table, but the best group is that group of five I listed.

Oct 14, 2016 03:50 PM #32

Frank doesn't have 10 extra games to play like last year, so I think he'll be fresher than last year. Vick and Svi are the real deal. I'd think Vick would be a little more adept at running point, but Svi is no slouch, either. What a great advantage to have 5 good ball handlers on the perimeter.

Oct 14, 2016 04:04 PM #33

@jayhawkeyes

"Could we see Bragg at the 3 if Udoka is in with Lucas?"

Wow... going big! Might that be as possible as us going small?

Everyone in here knows I'm an x-axis, small ball directed guy. I like the talk about going with a 4-guard offense SOME of the time.

Right now the talk is about a 4-guard offense.

Here is what I see. I believe we WILL see a 4-guard offense early in the year (at times). I think is to check out the possibilities of what we can do with 4 guards. It can only work if our 5 does a great job of protecting the basket. This may be in the mix because we need to give Vick and Svi plenty of floor action. We need them to be seasoned by year's end. This is an effort to "coach for March." We often have blasted Bill for not planning for March. This idea of a 4-guard offense can help us in two ways: first, it helps give Vick and Svi plenty of PT immediately and that will help us down the stretch. Second, it will give us another option in games that aren't going well. A 4-guard offense puts lots of speed and energy on the floor for us.

We've already discussed BAD BALL returning. We don't know what our offense will do this year. When we do go stale, it seems like energy is often the problem. A 4-guard offense is a way to add energy on the court.

Looking at it even a bit differently... might this be Bill getting influenced by the ghost of El Mayor from ISU? When we talk about "going small" we are actually still keeping up with the height of most teams. But we are putting in big guards as forwards. Might this create match-up opportunities for us? Heck yes! I can see us running isolation plays for guys like Josh or Svi in the low post.

My concern is the possible "thinness" of our backcourt. We are missing that extra big versatile guard this year with the loss of BG. We have to prepared for one of our guards to go down for a while.

However... there are pluses/minuses with depth. Having a lot of it also creates problems. Mostly.. who gets the PT? Who will rust out on the bench? There have always been lots of great teams that only go 6 or 7 players.

I wonder what the impact of having so many "bigs" last year did to Bill's perspective. Granted... our depth wasn't all-star depth, but it was depth. It seemed that we finally came together only after Landen nailed down the 5. It is hard for a player to take ownership of his position if he isn't the starter and holding on to the majority of minutes in that spot. Just look at what happened to Landen. His play jumped up considerably after he took ownership. The difference was night and day.

I have a feeling Bill will be on a "fishing expedition" in the early season... looking for players to step up and take ownership, becominc accountable.

Lots of questions in this thread... many directed at me. I wish I had answers, but actually, my motivation is to get all your opinions because I have as many questions as everyone else!

Oct 14, 2016 04:14 PM #34

Ultimately.... we have some questions about some of our bigs. We should have learned a lesson last year.... we had the same issue of not having a dominate alternative in the post until Bill gave the 5 to Landen. I don't think we want to deal with that issue this year. We need to spend more of the year playing championship-quality ball tweaking to continue to improve, instead of faltering and just trying to get up to that level in March.

So what we need to do now is to solidify the strength of our core players. Bill wants Svi and Vick to become two of our core players for this year. They will have to be, if for no other reason than to give quality back up minutes at 1 - 3.

I am doubtful we can win a National Championship without quality play from Svi and Vick. They don't have to dominate the game, but we need quality minutes from both of these players.

Oct 14, 2016 04:25 PM #35

@justanotherfan

Do you think the 4 guard possibility will be used based on matchup or because putting the most talented guys on the floor gives KU the best advantage?

I get this feeling based on the comments of going small is that Coleby, Udoka & Lightfoot are not ready to contribute in a fashion that would equal what bringing another guard into the game (Vick or Svi) could do.

Oct 14, 2016 04:30 PM #36

@drgnslayr I don't know if its as much coaching for March as it is coaching for next year. Vick needs pt so he will be more comfortable playing along side Newman next year too! Its a win/win for KU if we can get Vick some seasoning before next season with the possibility of a mass exodus looming just around the corner.

Oct 14, 2016 04:32 PM #37

@drgnslayr

Love the comment about the Mayor. We know Bill and Fred have a good relationship and I'm sure if he's really considering changing the status quo at KU its because he's seen enough to finally believe in it. Jay Wright might have had a big influence as well when the lasting impression of last season is being beat by a bunch of guards/wings and 1 big, the same one that cut down the nets.

Is Bill finally learning that "adaptability" thing we always talk about here? Time will tell

Oct 14, 2016 04:41 PM #38

@BeddieKU23

I'm not ready to pat all of us on the back for hammering Bill on the Mayor's "match-up style" NBA offense into the dialogue last year, but I do feel like Bill has been impacted by the Mayor and what he did with a bunch of small players. So imagine a bit of "Mayor offense" with players that are larger and more talented?

I do think Bill is looking at his players and trying to give the most talented players (most talented in helping us) plenty of PT.

There is so many ways to think about our team. So many possibilities.

What if Bill suddenly thought, "I'm going 100% on defensive strength!"

What would be our lineup?

Oct 14, 2016 04:52 PM #39

@drgnslayr how tall of big are we playing? Not sure who our 5 would be.

Oct 14, 2016 04:54 PM #40

@justanotherfan wondering if Vick is doing better than Svi? Coleby won't play at all at 80%

Oct 14, 2016 05:28 PM #41

@BeddieKU23

Agree 100% that it puts the most talented guys on the floor. I think Coleby, Udoka and Lightfoot can help this year, but compared to Jackson, Svi, Vick, Mason and Graham, those three aren't quite on that level. The only big guy I would really put up there is Bragg. Lucas will obviously contribute, but he's still probably only the sixth or seventh most talented player on this team.

This team should go small because it's best players are perimeter guys, and they can still keep size on the floor with Jackson and Svi.

Oct 14, 2016 05:39 PM #42

Defensively I don't see a huge change from last year if we play "small". Perry was not tall as a post player and neither was Jamari and neither guy was really known as a great defender in the post in general. I plan to see better defense this year no matter who is on the floor, small lineup or big.

Oct 14, 2016 06:08 PM #43

@joeloveshawks Great point about Jamari and Perry. Svi and Josh are both as big as them yet more mobile with better handles.

I'm not really worried defensively with a four guard lineup. We have seen teams go to the final four and win the championship with smaller teams- Villanova last year, UConn in in '14, and Butler back to back years in '10 and '11. It is more about rotations, staying aggressive and clogging the paint than it is about height, although that can help. Josh is known for being a good defender and having a lot of committment on that end of the floor, and he is as tall, maybe taller, than Perry and Mari, so we should be fine there.

Oct 14, 2016 06:43 PM #44

@Crimsonorblue22

I think we are talking about keeping either 6'10" Landen or 7' Udoka at the 5. And if Carlton has firmed up his defense, he could go for some minutes at the 5.

Svi is listed as 6'8". So his height at the 4 would be like a wash with Perry's height last year.

We aren't really "going small" as much as putting reasonably tall guys with more handling skills at the 4.

And then Josh is a natural 3. That position used to be called "shooting forward" but I like how people call it "swing guard" because of the athleticism and handling skills expected at that position now.

I remember the day when the 3 and 4 were basically interchangeable. The concepts were 2 guards, 2 forwards and a center. Amazing how quickly the game changes.

Oct 14, 2016 08:28 PM #45

@mihawk I agree unless, ha! Self goes zone. I'd never do it. I'd take quick over big anytime

Oct 14, 2016 08:32 PM #46

@drgnslayr I meant what bigs we are playing against. We could really go fast if we wanted to.

Oct 14, 2016 09:35 PM #47

From a lineup perspective there are a couple of things we really can't do, and a few others that we would like to do.

  1. Can't play Udoka, Landen and Coleby at the same time. It's just spacing death to put two of those guys on the floor at the same time. You basically have to have Svi, Bragg or Jackson at the 4 to make things work offensively.

  2. You don't really want Graham and Mason sitting at the same time. So that means you need to find 5 minutes of rest for each of them each half. Ideally, that means one of them comes out at the under 12 TV timeout, and then comes back in for the other after the under 8 timeout in the first half, then in the second half, one comes out at the under 16, then replaces the other after the under 12.

  3. You want to manage Bragg's exposure to bruising guys. With Lucas, Udoka and Coleby around, there's really no reason Bragg should be banging against some 6-10, 280 big man. The fact that there's three of them means Bragg should never be matched up with a guy he's giving up 30-40 pounds to.

  4. You want to avoid playing anyone more than 33 minutes on a regular basis. In blowouts, you really want to have the ability to get Graham and Mason out with 5+ minutes left - no need to put the extra wear on those guys. In close games, you will have to ride them for their ball handling, but if you're up 15-18, you can monitor their minutes so they maybe only play 8-10 minutes each in the second half of a double digit game. That means playing Vick 20-25 minutes when games start getting a bit of cushion.

  5. You want your best lineup (currently Mason-Graham-Svi-Jackson-Bragg) to play at least 5 minutes together in each game. That lineup is a great run starting lineup because they can hit you with that 14-2 run that takes a close game and turns it into a double digit matchup.

Oct 14, 2016 09:40 PM #48

I might add for special defensive schemes, we might play box and 1 or triangle and 2 w/Vick. At least wear em down awhile.

Oct 14, 2016 10:02 PM #49

@justanotherfan said:

You want your best lineup (currently Mason-Graham-Svi-Jackson-Bragg) to play at least 5 minutes together in each game. That lineup is a great run starting lineup because they can hit you with that 14-2 run that takes a close game and turns it into a double digit matchup.

Our team is going to go on offensive blowout mode ALOT this year. We're going to dominate teams on both ends of the court. It'll be like a jail break.

Oct 14, 2016 10:14 PM #50

If I'm not mistaken, didn't Duke win the championship playing four guards around Okafor?

Oct 14, 2016 11:01 PM #51

@HawkChamp I believe you're correct. But, Coach Self won't bet the house on playing that way. He will only use it as a weapon in certain cases, limited minutes.

Oct 14, 2016 11:05 PM #52

@jaybate-1.0 Im all for those non linear leaps in neural net connections. Fascinating stuff the brain is. Billions of connections and can be compared to the number of stars in the universe

Oct 14, 2016 11:13 PM #53

@drgnslayr solid post at #32. My main questions revolve around our bigs this year. Basically, how good of a rim protector will Bragg and Udoka be and will they be able to stay out of foul trouble.

We already know what our returning guys are going to bring and they should get better than last year.

Bragg will have an increase roll though. Will Bragg > Perry their sophomore seasons? Its unfair to compare Senior Perry to Sophomore Bragg. But I think Bragg may be a better soph.

Oct 15, 2016 03:32 AM #54

@justanotherfan

Based on what we have seen, the best and most likely lineup is: Mason, Graham, Jackson, Bragg and Lucas. Looking at how Lucas finished last season, I just don't see him not starting. The lineup might change as the season goes by but I would put money that this is the lineup at the start of the season.

Oct 15, 2016 12:41 PM #55

I seriously doubt we ever see a KU line up (outside of garbage time) that doesn't involve either Mason or Graham on the floor because KU doesn't have a third PG on the roster worthy of important minutes. Svi's ball handling abilities are good enough to be the second guy, but not lead guard against D1 competition. Vick was turnover probe last year so unless that's improved over the summer, Vick shouldn't be handling the ball in any capacity that a PG normally would.

Oct 15, 2016 03:17 PM #56

@Lulufulu

I think it is safe to say we will be improved in the post on defense. The question is "how much?"

Can Udoka aggressively defend without fouling? We shall see. I'm sure Bill will run plenty of ref'd scrimmages in the coming weeks with real officiating to see how our new guys do.

Will Bragg be able to hold his ground this year and be a better defender? He is bound to be better.

And Landen has improved every single year. This year he will be "the man" in our post. He has stepped up in his ownership role. Look at how improved he became on defense last year... I believe we will see an improved Landen this year, too.

So much of the responsibility falls on our guards. I believe, as others do, that Josh will soon surpass Wayne as a quality defender. All the help we can obtain from the perimeter will also help our post players by reducing their fouls on guards and shooting forwards.

Oct 15, 2016 03:38 PM #57

@drgnslayr think josh has already surpassed Selden on D.

Oct 15, 2016 04:38 PM #58

I'll "defend" last year's defense a bit.

Paraphrasing remarks made last year by an unnamed Big 12 assistant coach: "Ellis knows our plays better than our players do. We call the play and he's at the right spot to defend it before we get going."

I doubt many fans saw what never happened because Ellis prevented it beforehand.

Playing team defense probably requires more experience than playing team offense.

Josh may be a superior individual defender, but can he compensate for his lack of experience, or else learn at Embiid-like speed? I will gladly hope...

Oct 15, 2016 09:17 PM #59

@drgnslayr UA doesn't need to defend without fouling this year. He's just not going to play enough to need to play without fouling this year. LL probably plays 30 mpg or so this year so UA will probably play about 10 mpg this year which means he can play muscleball defense and make opponents regret venturing into the lane.

Oct 15, 2016 09:39 PM #60

@Texas-Hawk-10 no, playing good d without fouling is what I want to see. Don't want to be giving up free throws unnecessarily. He just needs to keep his arms up and not be reaching for the ball, or anything like that. I see big guys do that way too much instead of staying vertical and forcing a tough shot over the top.

Oct 15, 2016 10:22 PM #61

@HawkChamp As big as UA is, his role is going to be to intimidate and keep people out of the lane. A couple of clean, hard fouls early on will make opponents think twice about journeying into the paint.

Oct 15, 2016 10:31 PM #62

I want to see him set a few hard picks!

Oct 16, 2016 12:18 AM #63

@Crimsonorblue22 Me too!! Kids a brick wall, with steel reinforcement. I dont think there is a Marcus Smart type player in the league this year...someone who I really want to see get knocked on his butt.

Man, that screen on Flopper by Kev Young was Epic. I'll never forget that stuff!!

Oct 16, 2016 12:26 AM #64

@Lulufulu be a few preseason picks I'd like to see, hmmm wonder who?🤔💪

Oct 16, 2016 12:54 AM #65

@ParisHawk Thirty- eight minutes is too many minutes per game for Frank and DeVonte, especially Frank. Coach Self, please tell me this is the year you limit our starting guards' minutes, at least until the tournament. Every year, Coach Self admits he played Frank too many minutes. Please set the limit at 28 minutes per starting guard. We have plenty of quality minutes on the bench, so let's use them. RCJH

Oct 16, 2016 08:31 AM #66

@stoptheflop Maybe you mistyped: I said 34 minutes each, not 38.

  • 30 minutes together

  • 4 minutes Frank without Devonte

  • 4 minutes Devonte without Frank

  • 2 minutes both sit

That makes 34 minutes of playing time for each.

This is a prediction, not a wish. My wish is for less. The only way I see my wish coming true is if we blow out a lot of teams.

Oct 16, 2016 03:35 PM #67

@ParisHawk I'm sorry if I misread your earlier comment. I would like to see Coach Self and staff place strict limits on the starting guards' minutes, like the pitch limits in baseball and the 13 minute limit the Sixers are placing on our man, Embiid. Toward the end of each season Coach Self states he played certain players too many minutes. I know the players want to be in the game, but it's up to the coaches to set limits. Frank's minutes need to be reduced due to his aggressive style of play. I thought Vick could have picked up a lot more minutes in decided games last year. RCJH

Oct 16, 2016 06:59 PM #68

Rock Chalk! Time for some round ball...

The key for me to maximize the talent we have this season is the ability to insert more energy, aggressiveness and speed into the KU team for 40 full minutes. We have the experience and the depth to do it.

On D, pick up the opposing team full-court to apply some pressure to even get the ball up the court instead of falling back into half-court D. Do this for the entire game. A more container and controlled version of 40 min of hell.

Trap more and create havoc in the passing lanes. Take more risks on D by anticipating and improvising. Press a little from time to time but pressure a lot all the time. Get out on three point shooters and force the other time to beat us off the dribble. This team is very athletic and deep.

On O, unclog the lane and spread the hi-lo vertically and across the lane, using a smaller line up at times but also with Bragg and Lucas.

Let JJ create on his own sometimes to get used to it for later in the season. He is a slasher and will get to the rim at will. Our guards can all get to the rim at will and for this team we will win all the one-on-one match ups on the perimeter.

Yes, Bragg needs to play close to the basket but not as close as in the past. He is deadly from 10-12 and a good passer if the lane is not clogged. He needs to rebound and make bunnies and be more physical but not to bruise and overpower. Our other bigs can do that better.

Run and run and run, substitute more often and for shorter periods of time, as per the flow of the game. Coach Self always says he wants the team to play faster. This team is maybe the fastest and quickest since 2008.

Another conf title and a final four is in the making. I hope coach will turn them loose and let them play with reckless abandon more than years past. We do not need to 'run our stuff' to get the best shot on every possession.

Our D will be elite from day one which makes us very tough to beat, even on a bad night.

Oct 16, 2016 07:25 PM #69

@jayhawk-007 I agree about playing fast. If you watch the '08 team, they looked to run quite a bit - remember the concern was "Can they keep up with North Carolina?" We all know how that turned out. I disagree with those that say Self will hold them back. I'm just not convinced that he intentionally designs his game plan around playing a slow half court game. I think teams do a good job of getting back and preventing run outs, but there are still ways a team can get easy transition dunks. And with an athlete like JJ, we really need to utilize his athleticism and talent, something that was not done enough with Wiggins.

The good thing about Bragg is that teams will have to guard him to the three point line, just like Perry. The key for him will be if he has good enough handles to take his man one on one from the free throw line extended area. I think Bragg and his development is the most important part of this coming year, and the reason we will or won't make the final four. Bill talks about Bragg needing to score inside more, and I think that can also mean driving into the lane like Perry, not necessarily a post up and hook shot. It will be interesting also to see Landon and what post moves he has this year.

Oct 16, 2016 10:59 PM #70

Yes, agreed. We need a little more dribble-drive on O and Bragg should be able to bounce it a pull up for a short jumper and also take it directly to the rim. JJ will be the one to do it best and most often.

In any case, our guards will beat our opponents off the dribble this year, and we will be able to stay in front of the elite guards as well, much better than the last few years. This is the most exciting thing about this year's team.

One small criticism in a sea of great qualities which I might make about KU BB is that we have not always played to our athletic ability, rather than depending on the system to 'run our stuff' on O and play classic man-to-man on D. But the best teams always need someone to make a play on both ends of the court, not just play within the scheme.

I would like to see us play "take 'em" more than years past. We will see early on if indeed this is a good dribbling and passing team. But even if we are a good 'move the ball passing team', I would still like to see us try a little more 'play ground' ball and let our superior individual talent take over.

In the past, we have emphasized system offense and traditional defense with little room for improvisation and individual 'make a play' tolerance.

The result is sometimes at the end of the year, under the brightest lights, when one player has to step up, we tend to differ to "the system". And we have not trained our alpha dogs to go 'make a play'.

Some call this tendency to emphasize the play calling vs the individual improvisation as 'over-coaching'. We will see if we can do both to take advantage of our system and our individual talent. Running the floor on offense (bring the ball us by running, not walking) and picking up the other team full court on defense will help us achieve this important evolution in style. We can sub more often and push the guys on the court more.

Thoughts?

Oct 16, 2016 11:14 PM #71

Iso/ hero ball doesn't even work at the nba level (think Kobe). Good team play will destroy Iso ball everyday (GS Warriors). What we need are more alpha types. The '08 squad had rush, chalmers, Collins, and Darrell all of whom could, and did, go off for 30 pts in a game.

I guess what I'm saying is you don't have to be selfish to score a ton even within Bills system. The trick is getting the players to recognize and take the good shots. As well as pass out of lower percentage shots.

No Hero needed this season. Graham, Mason, Bragg and Jackson will provide plenty of offense!

Oct 16, 2016 11:24 PM #72

@dylans we're not really talking about iso ball, but rather instances where, for example, Bragg has the ball around the free throw line area or so. In essence, it is about can he exploit the matchup if a slower defender is on him? Can he put the ball on the floor in a similar fashion to Perry and score? Far from being iso/hero ball, this is an evaluation of a likely scenario, given that Bragg last year, when he was in the game, had the ball had numerous times in that same area. Making a one on one move is not necessarily Kobe Bryant selfish ball. Two different things

Oct 17, 2016 01:31 PM #73

@HawkChamp my comment was for @jayhawk-007, I didn't even read your post. A game of Take 'Em is hero ball. =(ISO) isolation plays= one on one = take 'em it's all the same thing. Yes our guys need to win one on one battles, but not if an open shooter is waiting that's just selfish.

I don't believe he (or she) is advocating for 100% hero ball, I just don't want to see it more than a couple of times a game when there is an extreme matchup advantage like if the midget Forte is trying to guard Josh Jackson. But if a bad switch hasn't been made I don't wanna see ISO ball.

Oct 17, 2016 03:53 PM #74

Agreed, certainly not iso ball.

The issue for me is that we can become system dependent, and especially at the end of the year at crunch time, when we need an alpha dog to make a play on O or D, we tend to refer back to the system as per the coaching.

This is high percentage and should be done during the season and most of the time, but when you are in the tourney for example, and your best players only shoot 4-5-6 times in an entire game and you lose (sound familiar?), mostly I believe it is because we are trying to 'run our stuff' and we need to go make a play.

The last few years, our best players have been shut down by the opposing team's ability to read and counter our offensive schemes. When that happens, especially in single elimination, someone has to make a play on O and D.

I think we do not train this mindset enough during the season and so when the time comes, our best players defer to the 'team concept' to get a basket or steal a pass.

Our best teams - at least for the dance - in '08 and '12 had players (Chalmers, Collins, Taylor) who would attack and take a risk on both sides of the ball - play to win, not just play not to lose.

Playing the percentages and great fundamentals and team work and hi-lo and fall back half-court tough man-to-man defense is excellent. And it teaches and is a winning formula for sure.

But, there comes a time at year end, when the guys have to not rely on the system or run our stuff or play half-court defense...my hope is that with this group of players, we will push the envelop earlier and more often, force the action, even if we make mistakes, turnovers, missed steals, etc.

I am thinking this is a year we can go all the way but our tourney woes might improve if we have - not iso - but 'take 'em' attack mode on both ends earlier in the year. We have the players to do it for 40 min per game.