This is not hard. This is not complicated. We were beaten by SDSU because of three main reasons -- but one (three point shooting) will continue to haunt us if adjustments aren't made:
1. We were thrashed on the boards:
SDSU hammered us on the boards, and continually outworked us for the ball. Some of the boards were the luck of the bounce. But mainly, we didnāt get butts on guys and they got to the hoop and capitalized. How many follow dunks did they have? This is in part an effort issue, but itās also an issue of fundamentals and positioning on the court. Traylor has made strides, but he gets 3 rebounds in 18 minutes? Black has the same rate ā 1 in 6 minutes. And Ellis gets 5 in 22 minutes? I donāt know. Lucas just must be a significantly inferior player in Selfās eyes. But he sure got after it when he was in, and when heās been in this season, he looks like a superior rebounder to both Traylor or Black. Lucas is at .325 rebounds per minute, Black and Traylor at .266 and .226 respectively. Blackās average is higher than his career average. Traylor is about the same as last season. Interesting, Josh Davis, a senior transfer (like Black) from Tulane pulled down 14 boards in 31 minutes for SDSU.
2. We were out-coached.
Fisher had the strategy of doubling our post players and Self did not have an answer. What was our response? To dribble away from the double, to attempt cross court passes, and most importantly, to play passive rather than aggressive.
Let me ask you this: Did you see any perimeter players cutting to the basket when our post players were doubled? There was one time when Ellis hit Mason in the middle of the lane for a hoop off of a double. This wasnāt a cut, though. Mason was just there. The entire game there were no cutters to the basket. This is how you make them pay. They double, and your post player can shoot a pass to a cutter from the perimeter for an easy basket.
This is basketball 101.
Another thing that we did a few times was that we pivoted away from the double teams. What do you do if the offensive player pivots away? You close out and tight the trap.
But what we did, mainly, was play scared and non-aggressive. We routinely dribbled out of the double team, away from the hoop. Ellis and Embiid thus were rendered quite ineffective as they retreated. Ellis went 1-9. Embiid shot the ball a whopping 5 times. Embiid was provoked into a couple of turnovers throwing it across the court. I believe Ellis fumbled the ball away once on a trap.
What else would you expect off the double in the post? A pass to a shooter for a step in three. No dice there, either.
Fisher doubling the post was a main contributor to our poor two point shooting percentage. Not the only reason, but a main contributor.
Score that one to coach Fisher by a knockout.
3. We have no three-point shooting in the rotation.
Next, again, beating the dead horse, we have zero three point shooting. This time 4 for 16. Our three starting perimeter players were 2 of 11 from three. Good three point shooting can cure a lot of ills, including being out-rebounded and getting out-coached, or being out-played in another phase of the game.
After the Toledo game, I noted that our performance there was the exact recipe for a tourney upset. All that bailed us out was Tharpeās 4 for 5 three point shooting effort. I asked what would have happened if Tharpe would have gone 1 for 5 that game instead?
Thereās your answer ā Tharpe went 1 for 5 from three vs. SDSU. Of course, much different type of ballgame. This was a bar fight. Toledo was more up and down the court. Both recipes for losses. Why? The lack of three point shooting. Against Toledo, remove Tharpeās 4-5 from three and we were still just 3 for 9, and one of those was from non-perimeter player Perry Ellis ā so our perimeter guys were 2 of 8.
Our problem here is so blatantly obvious. We need three point shooting to bail this young team out when other things donāt go well. That is the main point. But our options behind the arc are limited to average at best three point shooters.
Self now has constricted his rotation to 4 perimeter players. And none of the 4 perimeter players is an elite three point shooter. You need three point shooting to boost you to victory in games like today, when you get out-coached or out-played in an important phase of the game (which was in the post vs. SDSU). Or when you lose the battle of the boards like we did.
Oh, but coach Self did give us a token look ā the flavor of the day was Andrew White. Predictably, he missed a three. Predictably, he gets three minutes. Predictably, he never sees the floor again. Iām tired of predicting. Would it have made sense to use, say, Brannen Greene against SDSUās length? Of course it would have. Of course, he doesnāt play.
The bigger concern going forward is the drum Iāve been beating for a while ā we lack three point shooting in the rotation. Who is the elite shooter? Self has refused to choose either Frankamp, Greene, or White, as he admitted was best for the team, and he has refused to play one of them regularly. Coach Self is neglecting the use and development of not only a plentiful asset on this team, but an absolutely necessary asset.
Shooters need comfort and confidence, and they need to be able to get in the flow of the game. Much different than a post player. They need to feel they can shoot without looking over their shoulders. Their āheadā is as important as their stroke. Shooting is a difficult craft. When your head is not right as a shooter, and you lack comfort and/or confidence, your chances of success go way down. For our shooters to help, they have to play regularly -- whether it's one of them, or more. And that will require a major adjustment by Self. Thatās the bottom line.
Self may be an excellent coach, but right now, he is mismanaging this particular asset. This mismanagement, if it continues, will significantly decrease the chances of KU winning a national title. And that, my friends, is all that matters.