Quick and dirty assessment of the other 9 Big 12 schools.
Oklahoma - 4-1 with no impressive wins and a loss to Northern Iowa on their record. UNI is usually solid, and they have only two losses on the season (both to a very good Xavier team due to a strange scheduling quirk). OU looks like a middle of the pack type of team that will probably be holding their breath on selection Sunday.
Oklahoma State - 5-1, but got blasted by UNC. Granted, UNC is probably one of the five best teams in the country, but they still got beat by 30. They will probably also be holding their breath on Selection Sunday, but I think they are better than Oklahoma right now.
West Virginia - 4-1, very good defensively, had an impressive comeback against Temple in their only loss (down by 20, lost by just 4). I think they will have trouble scoring all season, but their defense will keep them in lots of games. They are a tournament team.
Texas - 3-2, no identity right now. Smart is pushing his defensively philosophy, but doesn't appear to have buy in from his players just yet. They should be better than this, but they are not. They have talent, so they could always figure it out. I need to watch them again to get to the bottom of this. Right now, they are not a tournament team.
Texas Tech - 5-1, no wins of any note. Only loss is to Auburn, a team that is probably going to be pretty good this year under Bruce Pearl, despite their loss to Purdue (a Big 10 contender). Tech has been building depth and talent. They should be back in the dance this year again.
Kansas State - 5-1. I am taking a wait and see approach with KSU. I need to see how they handle the game at Saint Louis before making a judgment. Hanging with Maryland got my attention, although I am still not convinced the Cats are any good.
Iowa State - 5-1, and as good as that record would indicate. They could have knocked off Gonzaga, and they have a convincing win over Miami, too. They are a tournament team unless Monte Morris goes down. Probably a top 5 seed.
Baylor - 6-0, this is potentially Scott Drew's best team in Waco. Wins over three ranked teams already, it's arguable that their resume is better than KU's at this moment (beat Oregon and Michigan State by double digits, came back to knock off Louisville). That Xavier game over the weekend should be interesting. They could be a top 3 seed.
TCU - 6-0, with a rematch with Washington looming. TCU could be .500 in the conference this year, which likely makes them a tournament team. Big congrats to Jamie Dixon on getting this team over the hump. They look like a serious team and they have more talent and depth than ever.
Predicted conference finish:
- Kansas
- Iowa State
- Baylor
- TCU
- Texas Tech
- West Virginia
- Oklahoma
- Oklahoma State
- Texas
- Kansas State
The crazy thing is, I think that 9 of those teams still have at least a chance to go to the tournament. Probably only 7 teams will go dancing, but just about everyone will get a shot entering conference play.