@FarmerJayhawk said in 2020 Transfer List:
@KirkIsMyHinrich said in 2020 Transfer List:
@FarmerJayhawk said in 2020 Transfer List:
@KirkIsMyHinrich said in 2020 Transfer List:
Why do we want Bryce Aiken again? He's 6'0'' and doesn't play defense. He averages more turnovers than assists and doesn't rebound. Career 34.7% from 3. He's Charlie Moore with slightly better shooting and worse passing and rebounding.
Carton and Bruner seem decent but I don't think either guy moves the needle that much for us.
Because he's an elite scorer and shooter. 40% from 3 his last full season, 87% from the line. Assists would obviously go up because he's surrounded by a lot better players. We need scoring on next year's squad, and he'd be electric.
Ya, I'm not buying that his assists are going to go up just because he's surrounded by better players. Charlie Moore's assist percentage at Cal (27.4) went way down when he came to Kansas (16.0) and then shot back up again when he transferred to DePaul (34.3). His assists might go up, but it's not a given.
He might be an elite shooter, he's not an elite scorer. His career average is 16.8 points with 40.6/34.7/85.3 shooting splits. Nobody who barely eclipses 40% shooting from the field in the ivy league is going to be an elite scorer in the B12. In his best season, he averaged 22.2 points with 43.4/39.8/85.5 shooting splits, and he attempted more than 15 field goals per game. That 39.8% from 3 is the best-case scenario, and he won't get near the volume on Kansas that he did on Harvard.
So a guy whose only value to us would be shooting 3-pointers, might shoot 39.8% on low-volume while not doing much else and being a liability on defense. I think that ends up being a net negative for us. Like why even bother? Let's just play the guys we have now. We have good players. If you want to give Aiken the 0 mpg that we were going to give Jossell next season then that's fine I guess.
Using career numbers is weird for Aiken because he’s really only been a full time starter for one year.
Aiken is a much better player than Moore. Last full season he was 8 points better from 3, 5 points better from 2, 6 better from the line. Ends up a 10 point difference in TS% on really high volume. I’ll take that every day. His TO% was less than Moore with much higher usage. All while defenses were keying on him every night. For a team that will struggle some on offense, why not add one of the best scorers out there? He’ll have a lower 2 point% just because he scores a lot off the bounce. He’ll get much better looks at KU.
I’m less worried about defense. Self is an elite defensive coach, and if he can get Isaiah Moss of all people to develop into a decent defender he can get Aiken to defend.
Shooting is like pitching in baseball. You think you have enough, add one more.
27.8 minutes and 11.4 field goal attempts per game as a freshman. 27.7 minutes and 10.9 field goal attempts per game as a sophomore. 32.8 minutes and 15.1 field goal attempts per game as a junior. 25.6 minutes and 12.1 field goal attempts last season. 23 games started as freshman/sophomore/last season, 17 games started as a junior. 1291 minutes played as a freshman/sophomore/last season, 591 minutes played as a junior. Why wouldn't I use career stats? He's played starters minutes every season at Harvard.
Aiken is a better scorer and shooter than Moore, I agree. He has a lower TOV% than Moore but he also has a lower AST% and STL%.
Aiken's TS% is a lot better than Moore's, but most players TS% is a lot better than Moore's. Marcus Garrett has a higher TS% than Moore. Devon Dotson has a higher TS% than Aiken.
Overall there are just a lot of ifs. If Aiken shoots around 40% from 3, and if he can play defense, and if he can stay healthy... If he can do those things, and especially the first two, then I'd love to have him. I don't think he can but I guess why not take a shot, right? What do we have to lose?
I'm a Colorado Rockies fan so pitching analogies do nothing for me.