It goes without question that tonight is the biggest game of the season so far.
Likely #1 going into Ames where the fans suck and we have yet another game of listening to Fran talk about his favorite team. Over/Under on how many times Fran compares Monte Morris to Frank Mason, or talks about how good ISU's back-court is compared to KU's. Or, well, you get the picture, the list goes on for this guy. This game will feel like a 6 on 5 (or 9 on 5) contest if you include the ref's for most of the night.
So what's it going to take for KU to win tonight?
- Get off to a fast start.
Lately we've walked out of the gate and found ourselves in deficits. It's a good thing most KU fans missed the first 11 minutes of Saturday's game. I expect the first 7-8 minutes to be fast paced and emotionally charged for ISU. Making shots will keep the crowd level down, forcing misses would do even more. We need to be either ahead at half our within a few baskets.
- Honestly this should be #1, Transition defense.
ISU LIVES by pushing the pace off made/missed baskets. I cannot stress how much they play like UNC in regards to transition and secondary break. Naz Long has become their leading scorer as he's become their most consistent player driving to the hoop. With our lack of rim protection and just plain lazy defense sometimes this is a huge key to the game. Last year ISU pushed the pace and got a lot of easy baskets because the team was unaware of how fast ISU changes pace up the court. I believe that was the biggest factor in our loss in Ames last year. We cannot let it happen twice.
- Rebound.
Much like KU they rely on a collection of guys to rebound. Expect long misses off Naz Long 3's, 50/50 balls will be key. Lucas, Bragg & Jackson are key in this game in the battle of boards.
- Lucas
ISU's biggest player tonight is a freshman Solomon Young at 6'8, no bigger than Josh Jackson. I'm not sure what's wrong with Merrill Holden but he's missed the past 3 games. Lucas is huge is this game if we can get him in scoring position and he can make a catch and move to the basket. This has been an area he's really improved on lately which has cut down on turnovers for him. Lucas is also ISU's biggest matchup advantage if Landon is forced to guard Bowie or Young out on the perimeter. Bowie has only take 11 3's all year but at a 45% clip and he has slashing ability to get by Lucas. This could be a game we also look to Carlton Bragg to step up (if that's possible).
- Limit at least 1 perimeter player to below season averages.
A big part of why KU won Saturday which has gone mostly forgotten was KU's ability to shut down Evans, Forte & Carroll in the 2nd half. If Young and Bowie have career nights I'm okay with that because it most likely takes away points Thomas, Long and Morris could be chucking from outside. ISU doesn't shoot a lot of FT's, for reference KU has shot almost 100 more overall. Force this team off the 3 point line and into 2 point jumpers.
Huge game, I think a lot of KU fans are waiting for a reason to believe they really are worthy of being the #1 team in the nation. Tonight, a road win would be a huge statement win for this team.