A loss on the road against a quality team is certainly not the end of the world. Villanova and Kentucky both lost on the road last night (although 2 point losses each). We've lost 4 in a row in Morgantown. Baylor was spanked there earlier (although OU won there???).
The issue is the way the game unfolded and the way we lost. Defensive shortcomings that have been widely discussed clearly manifested themselves last night. The glass half full view has been - yeah, but we can out score the other team. That has been and probably will continue to be true against fair to middling competition, but much less likely against higher NCAA caliber teams.
The fact is that our glossy record was built largely on probably the weakest non-conference schedule we've had in years. And, the first 7 conference games lined up as about as favorably as possible. Really, what are the sure NCAA teams we've beaten until now? Duke - yes, but seed is slipping. ISU and KSU - possibly (probably for at least one), but they won't be high seeds. That's really it.
Heretofore, we've managed to out score inferior teams, masking our defensive shortcomings. But that certainly wasn't the case last night. Giving up 5 straight lay-ups to start the second half. Getting out-scored by 18 in the last 9 minutes. Once again yielding a career night to the one of the opponents front court players (how many of those so far this year?). Seemingly no ability to keep their guards and forward from getting to the rim. And, then no rim protection.
This wasn't one of those 3-18 from the arc nights. We hit our 3s - a lot of them. We couldn't score from inside the arc. And, of course, 6-15 from the FT line. And, getting badly outrebounded in the second half.
The good news is that it is only one conference loss and we still control our own destiny. Same position as Baylor right now - tied with the same road lo. And, playing in KC in the tournament is very much in reach - I expect all the top teams save Gonzaga to have 3-5 losses. But, we can't count on out scoring the other team every game. It is worth noting that our Kenpom defensive efficiency rating after last nights game has fallen to 41st - by far the worst of the Self era.
We just don't have the right mix or skill sets to be an elite defensive team, but we have to do a better job. I just don't know what the answer is? Mixing in some zone depending on match-ups? At this stage, can the guys really be taught to keep their man in front of them and cut off driving and passing lane? It's not rocket science - look at a team like UVA; not that athletic or talented, but but they play rock solid defense - shut down Notre Dame last night in South Bend - and ND had been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country.
It's gut check time - if we can get through the next two weeks with no more than 2 losses, we're in good shape. But, is that likely? Are you confident about wins at Baylor, OSU and KSU? What needs to happen? What can we do differently, if anything, to improve on the defensive end????