The biggest problem KU has offensively is that we can't get easy shots consistently. If the jumpers are falling, life is good, and we can probably run any team in the country out of the building.
But if the shot goes cold, we don't really have a backup plan to score. Doke isn't a consistent post scorer, so if we are shooting blanks from outside, it gets really hard to make things happen on the offensive end.
Defensively, this isn't a team full of great or even above average defenders. Devonte is above average, but in his role playing 38 mpg at the point, he's probably closer to average because he has to save something on that end. Vick is above average, but he's playing out of position at the four, so he can't always take advantage of that. Unlike Josh, he isn't necessarily built to handle the bigger players all the time because he's giving up 2-3 inches every night.
Newman and Svi are average-ish, Doke is foul prone, and Mitch can't bang with most 5's. Garrett is also above average, but he doesn't help us offensively right now because he can't space the floor with his shot. Clay Young is undersized, but can steal some minutes inside against lesser bigs, but there is a risk of exposing him too much and having him become ineffective as the season wears on and a good scouting report on him starts to circulate.
Thankfully, these problems can be fixed, and the solutions aren't far away. Sam Cunliffe should help in the backcourt right away because he should help stagger the minutes a little bit more so Devonte and Lagerald aren't playing nearly every minute. That lets our two best perimeter defenders sell out a little bit more on that end - the difference between playing hard for 32 minutes and playing hard for 38 minutes is enormous.
The other, less certain fix, is of course Billy Preston. Preston is bigger and stronger than Mitch, and more skilled than Doke. He changes how we can score because he can go get buckets on the block if necessary. He commands a double team inside.
Let's think back to the 2006 team that got knocked out in the first round of the NCAA tournament by Bradley. That team was the same one that the following year went to the Elite Eight, and two years later won the whole thing. So why did that group get bounced in Round 1 as freshmen, then go all the way to the Elite Eight as sophomores? Darrell Arthur.
Not because Shady was the best player on those teams - he was probably the third best. But he changed the way that team could play because he could post up and generate easy shots when guys weren't hitting jumpers. He could draw fouls and get guys on the line (and in foul trouble). Right now, this team lacks that in the same way that the 2006 team lacked that. Billy Preston's skill set changes this team from the 2006 first round eliminated Hawks into the 2007 Elite Eight version.
The only question is whether he ever sees the floor for this team. If he doesn't, this team will run hot and cold with its jumpshot. If he does, we can go back to discussing the weather in San Antonio in late March and early April.