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Several thoughts
Jan 14, 2017 10:34 PM #1

Well, got several various thoughts on todays game, weighing back and forth: To start on the not so good: - Guys and gals this is like our THIRD game in a row now where we have come out and struggles out the gate and through a major part of the game - - I know Tuesday @ Oklahoma and then Today, Although like I said other place Okla St now has to probably be the best if not one of the best 0-5 team's across the land.

We just continue to have these Big's from other teams to have career days against us. - -Solomon playing like a top 5 player against us, - -One of these times if we don't get this shored up it's gonna cost us and cost us Big.

Negative - -our free throw pct reared it's ugly head again today - although not to concerned caused this was our 1st bad day from the line since we started Big 12 play. Our 3 pt % was horrible, our shooting pct wasn't very good, right now these past few game actually we been living on mirrors. We need to shore it up

We need to get things shored up, we got a stretch gonna be really rough Iowa St, WV, Kentucky, Baylor we need to play better BUT have confidence - -We STILL haven't played a complete game in HOW LONG? Having said that, good teams find ways to win, even when not at their best - -and we found a way to when - -just nervous about this stretch.

Now I'm gonna say, and I'm sure there will be people that won't agree with me BUT I'm gonna say it anyways - - - Right now I don't feel - -think WE ARE the # 1 rated team in America - - I'm sorry I love my Jayhawks but I just don't. - Top 5 sure - -maybe 4th-5th but # 1 at this point I'm not seeing it. - -UCLA probably is the # 1 team - -Villanova, but we are just not playing # 1 type of ball, which overall U don't give a crap really in the regular season if we are or not - - that just gives us a bigger target on our chest, then we already have. I want NUMBER 1 at the end of the year - -right now this is all for the fans to brag about, during the year - -ya # 1 at the end is too more then ever but - -just sayin - - . I mean seriously guys now dam be honest REALLY HONEST, do you feel that good about the win today?- - do you feel confident with the way we are playing right now? OR are you even the least bit nervous? - -be honest. - - ROCK CHALK ALL DAY LONG BABY

Jan 14, 2017 10:41 PM #2

@jayballer54 we started ok at ou, just not the 2nd half of the first half. Need our subs to step up

Jan 14, 2017 11:22 PM #3

@jayballer54 Agree with all of your several thoughts. As to the final point, we might be ranked number 1 this week, I really hope not. And, I agree that we haven't really earned it. Who have we beaten? Duke, but without their bigs and they've now lost 4 games. No one else. No of the other top teams in the B12. With the stretch we have upcoming, we could well have 2-3 losses in the next couple of weeks - unless we really step up our game. 5-0 in conference is nice, but deceiving - we've had about as easy a first 5 games as you can get. Of the remaining 14, there are only 4 that I would be comfortable penciling in as wins right now. Doesn't mean we can't win each game, but I don't recall struggling to put away the lower echelon teams in the conference at Allen like we are this year....

Jan 14, 2017 11:27 PM #4

@DCHawker I agree. Unless there is a sense of urgency or a little more pride, no 13 will not happen this year. Maybe that would be good for them to have that happen. They would probably get a 2 or 3 seed with no guarantee of being in the midwest regional, as well as the possibility of being in the same bracket as Kentucky or UCLA. Yikes.

Or they could play to the level they are capable of and stop screwing around.

Jan 14, 2017 11:34 PM #5

Other than the dumb FT shooting late, I thought KU turned up the D heat with many steals, & not allowing Forte to get looks. Look at the HUGE disparity in FT attempts & that'll tell you who the aggressor was for the final 75% of the game.

I watched IowaSt few days ago, they played ugly, took poor shots, poorly disciplined bunch. Now that we play 4+1, we should be better against them both on O & on D. And, I'm making that oh-so-dangerous assumption that Self>Prohm...

Jan 14, 2017 11:35 PM #6

@jayballer54 agreed about this team not being #1. That honor goes to either Nova and UCLA. UCLA is the real deal and will be my pick to bring home the title this year.

Jan 14, 2017 11:42 PM #7

@ralster I disagree. Morris and Burton are going to have fun playing against our defense. They are probably smiling and licking their chops after seeing how even Forte was able to get in the lane at will.

Jan 14, 2017 11:44 PM #8

@HawkChamp

Game is gonna be in the 90s if not both teams over 100 barring horrid shooting.

Jan 14, 2017 11:46 PM #9

@ralster ISU is struggling now. Morris just got his 3rd foul

Jan 14, 2017 11:47 PM #10

@HawkChamp hopefully you don't mind being wrong🤔

Jan 14, 2017 11:51 PM #11

@Crimsonorblue22 I'm don't mind being wrong. That is my prediction

Jan 15, 2017 12:13 AM #12

@HawkChamp Will be an interesting game against dear Melvin Weathermax's team...

Burton is a 6'6 250lb body trying to do dirty work against 6'8 JJ, 6'10 LL, or 6'10 Bragg. I heard announcers say he has a fragile psyche, which makes me wonder of he's an oversized pussy?? Wouldnt the competitor in you want to test that? Make him chase JJ & get some early fouls.

Monte is minus Niang and minus 7ft McKay.

Cant wait to see this chessmatch mgmt by Self...

Jan 15, 2017 12:13 AM #13

@jayballer54 I certainly agree with you that I don't think we should be #1. We're not playing well enough.
Seems like we just play well enough to win?
The stretches of really poor defense confuses me...we replace Selden and Ellis with Jackson and Svi/ Vick....should be close to the same defensive team that we were last year......maybe Ellis, with his experience made a big difference...I don't know.
The FT shooting (mainly by Josh) is going to bite us.
Maybe we need to get our rears kicked in a game to light a fire under them?

Jan 15, 2017 12:23 AM #14

@Hawk8086 who is playing consistently good?

Jan 15, 2017 12:34 AM #15

@DCHawker Agree about putting these teams away But a couple of thoughts, could be a couple of reasons - - ONE every team is getting better - - there are no easy wins whether home or away, Two we are just not playing really well at the present sparodic just got to shore some things up. This year more then ever, if you can steal a win on the road means like twice as much this year - - JUST a tough Conference. TCU better, TTbetter, K-state better just got to grind them out -- ROCK CHALK ALL DAY LONG BABY

Jan 15, 2017 12:39 AM #16

@HawkChamp Might have top disagree just a lil I don't really think Morris any better then Evans and look how many shots it took for Evans to get what he got. - - I think Frank matches up better with Burton I'm not that concerned about Burton, ya he is good but I think we can hold our on with him. - -ROCK CHALK ALL DAY LONG BABY

Jan 15, 2017 12:40 AM #17

@jayballer54 good points buddy. Offensively we just had an off night but still put up 87. I continue to worry about the lack of defense especially in the post to go along with rebounding. It like which ever big we are playing is gonna have his career day, not all of this is on LL because he had to help too much with our guards letting up drive byes. Which lead to Soloman getting easy buckets. We are not close to playing to our capabilities and with that I'm not sure we are a top 5 club, but I'm a guy that don't care about rankings just about winning when it matters. Monday is the start of this tough stretch and if we don't play better it will be tough to go .500 in it. I'm looking for toughness and composure. We will find out a lot about this club in the next few weeks. RCJH.

Jan 15, 2017 12:42 AM #18

@Hawk8086 IF we don't get things straightened out - -straightened out soon that butt kicking your talking about will be coming sooner then later, probably even twice - -WV @ Morgantown the Kentucky at Rupp, just got to right the ship. - -would be nice to come out for once from the opening tip and just take control - - ROCK CHALK ALL DAY LONG BABY

Jan 15, 2017 12:49 AM #19

@Crimsonorblue22 UCLA, Gonzaga, maybe. I just think we have had too many close games at home.........the obvious question is ........what happens when we play in a tough environment?
Guess we'll find out Monday night.

Jan 15, 2017 01:06 AM #20

@jayballer54 Frank and Burton?

Jan 15, 2017 01:11 AM #21

@HawkChamp

I really hope that you find a way to enjoy this season because it certainly doesn't seem that way

Jan 15, 2017 01:18 AM #22

@Crimsonorblue22 dam did I say Frank? - -am sorry about that - - I meant Josh - - ROCK CHALK ALL DAY LONG BABY

Jan 15, 2017 01:24 AM #23

Great thread.

JMO: I believe we have had three teams playing as close to their ceiling as is possible -- maybe above their ceiling. They've easily each played their best game of the season against us. We have withstood that and I think it's more about how good our opponents have played than about our deficiencies. We haven't played at the top of our game, and fortunately, haven't needed to.

Maybe I'm out of touch with what 'excellence' looks like these days, but I feel like the athleticism of this team (7 rotation) is top 5. Our guards and outside shooting is top 5. We have more playmakers on the floor at the same time than I can ever recall.

Defense is a question, but it is a Bill Self team and that portends well in the long run.

Ok, here's for my completely fan-boy comment. (i.e. I may regret this and have to eat my words):

Josh Jackson is the best freshman we've had since Wilt (who didn't play varsity.) Better-- more impactful -- than even Manning. He isn't scoring as much as Wiggins or Manning, but he impacts the game more through all aspects of the game. It reminds me a bit of young Jordan. I know.. I'm a homer, but the kid is solid gold -- a winner. The combination of him with Mason, and company is dreamy. And improving.

Can they be beat? Of course. The ceiling of the best teams like Villanova, West Virginia, UNC, Kentucky, Baylor, Creighton etc is not far from our ceiling.

But I think they can go toe-to-toe with any team even when that team is at the top of their game. We have to play close to our ceiling against teams playing at the top of their game..... But this team is capable of taking any team's best shot.

Jan 15, 2017 01:25 AM #24

@bskeet

Great post!

Jan 15, 2017 01:27 AM #25

@BeddieKU23 thank you! ..... And while I'm on a roll, let me add: Vick is way underrated. He's more of an x-factor than people realize.. He didn't have a showcase game today, but his athleticism is way up there, he's a good shooter and doesn't make a lot of mistakes. He needs to be more consistent, but has the raw materials to be Langford-esque by his senior year.

Jan 15, 2017 01:35 AM #26

To reply to the original post, I don't think this team is playing like a typical #1 team in the nation. We've yet to play 40 minutes of consistent dominate basketball. And yet we sit 5-0 in conference play and winners of 16 straight. There is no dominate team in College Basketball so whatever team gets the #1 ranking has earned it for that week and will have to fight like hell to keep it.

Today was a struggle, even when we finally got the lead and kept the advantage we saw struggles every minute. Terrible Free Throw Shooting, sometimes I wonder if they just get up there and close their eyes before they shoot. Some of the misses by Graham & Mason are just out of character. With Jackson, you just pray he can make some. What was he 10-17 today? That's terrible.

We had three 20 point scorers today. When was the last time that happened. I thought Devonte Graham had another strong game, that's now 3 straight strong games from him. That comes at a crucial point because Vick & Bragg are not giving us much on offense anymore. Vick had some hustle plays but Bragg had yet another non-impactful game.

We won by 7 and Frank Mason had an off shooting game. He really missed some easy one's and open shots. Still not his day and he went for 22!

This team has its flaws and it sure is exciting to watch at times. We'll see if we can weather the BOOOO storm in Ames Monday. We'll need to play our best basketball to win in that gym.

Jan 15, 2017 01:37 AM #27

@bskeet

I love Vick, he's been really good for most of the year. Lately he hasn't been as great but today he had some great hustle plays as you pointed out. I think he struggles offensively to figure out when he should drive or shoot. He's still getting comfortable with this team. Defense is still a big work in progress as we saw yet again today. He's only going to get better

Jan 15, 2017 01:50 AM #28

Did I read where somebody said Nova may well jump us for the #1 on Monday? My feeling is ... great, let'em have it. It's bad enough we get everybody's prayer shots and circus 3 pointers just for who we are. Don't need that bulls eye on our back with the #1 in the middle of it also. Any other spot in the top 4 is fine with me.

Jan 15, 2017 01:51 AM #29

@BeddieKU23 very true, to me he looks rushed on offense but he hustles his ass off and gets us a few extra possessions.

Jan 15, 2017 01:51 AM #30

@brooksmd

I'd be very happy if they did jump us but I don't see it happening.

Jan 15, 2017 01:52 AM #31

@kjayhawks

I think he took coaches words to heart. Self has said recently that he's wanted more from Vick from an energy and hustle perspective. At home he's played better. We need to see him bring it on the road

Jan 15, 2017 01:55 AM #32

@brooksmd idk they definitely could. UCLA had a close call at Utah so doubt they do anything. Nova has had some trouble with crap teams like DePaul themselves. It's such a crap shoot these days with parity the way it is nowadays.

Jan 15, 2017 02:15 AM #33

I am not worried about this team. I don't want our best game to be against okie st. We'll know a lot more when we play the @ WVU @ Kensucky and home against Baylor trio. The visit to Clone Land will be a good one as well. Bill's teams always play ugly about this time of the year, then they have their breakthrough. He'll get them to play defense- he's going to scream at them until they do.

Jan 15, 2017 02:39 AM #34

@KUSTEVE Need to play well on Monday. I have been saying since the pre season that there are three key games we need to win - @ISU, @WVU and @OSU. Every time we go to those places it seems as though we make them look like top ten teams. No reason we can't win with a little poise, senior leadership and a few three pointers.

Jan 15, 2017 02:40 AM #35

@brooksmd Bilas said it

Jan 15, 2017 02:42 AM #36

@kjayhawks ucla should have lost, bad call against Utah at the end

Jan 15, 2017 02:52 AM #37

OU looking good vs TT early second half up 10

Jan 15, 2017 02:53 AM #38

@kjayhawks any freezing drizzling yet?

Jan 15, 2017 03:14 AM #39

Maybe we just have really poor focus when there is a big winter storm, like in Morgantown last year.

Jan 15, 2017 03:21 AM #40

@mayjay and late and worried about loved ones getting there and .......getting out of there,🕳🚬🗑⛰

Jan 15, 2017 04:21 AM #41

@DCHawker said:

@jayballer54 Who have we beaten? Duke, but without their bigs and they've now lost 4 games. No one else. No of the other top teams in the B12.

KU' record indicates that after the very first game, it has beaten all comers big and small, that is 16 games in a row...only Gonzalo has a similar 16 game winning streak. Yes, the team is not playing as well as we would like it to but putting it down does not do any good.

Jan 15, 2017 04:33 AM #42

@bskeet Agree totally about JJackson. Best freshman contributor Self has ever had. He does ALL the little dirty things. Too competetive not to. No "protect the merchandise" here. At least not yet. But he's got to get more consistent at the FT line, I'm less worried about the 3%, that will come over time. Right now, I almost thought it could be hack-a-JJack...

To actually have a freshman that you can say "go create" or "get a bucket" or "drive it", it only adds to what Frank and Devonte can do.

To have a freshman that actually makes a veteran team better is simply breathtaking. Hate to say it, but now KU nation will understand how Calipari does it with 4-5 new top10 guys. When they are that highly ranked, they really can play, and part of being that good, is that even their young minds actually may "see" the game on a whole different level than your usual frosh.

The announcers mentioned it took Josh a couple of games to not look lost. Maybe KU people would say it took him a couple of weeks. But we saw it take Oubre months, Wiggins hard to judge as a bit more passive persona. Sherron was pretty good from Day 1, but sort of did his own thing, didnt quite facilitate like Jackson does. My point is, JJ has been a very quick study, with a remarkable feel for the game. And, he has no fear. I wonder if Xavier Henry still watches KU games on TV, would be curious to know what he thinks, since I'm pretty sure I know what his dad's advice to JJ would be. Better left unsaid.

Jan 15, 2017 04:40 AM #43

KU 16-1. Lost that first game in OT to Indiana, in a battle of not season's-end-products, and in a game in which Self pulled Frank out before the end of OT. Almost makes me think he wanted the team to taste an L, right out of the gate. Other posters here have wondered for years if Self "lets them labor" for certain games, while getting them "all geeked up" for other opponents.

So, what I'm saying is: Does that 16-1 record have an asterisk* by that 1 loss?

Jan 15, 2017 05:32 AM #44

@ralster

KU is 16-1...right?

Jan 15, 2017 09:05 AM #45

@JayHawkFanToo Yep, post edited/corrected...thnx

Jan 15, 2017 01:13 PM #46

@JayHawkFanToo Not putting down anyone - or, at least don't intend to. Just making the point that we really have only one quality non-con win and we haven't yet played WVU, Baylor or ISU in conference. We may be ranked #1 more by default - since we haven't lost since the first game - than by merit. I would argue that Villanova, Baylor and UCLA actually have better resumes as one loss teams than we do - all with more quality wins, including on the road. That's all. We've beaten everyone we've played since IU, which is all we can do - although I think most would agree that we can and will need to play better to beat the B12 teams above, esp. on the road, as well as UK.

Jan 15, 2017 02:07 PM #47

@DCHawker The polls aren't seeding the tournament teams. They are meaningless in the big scope of things. To "merit" moving up in the poll, you simply win when the games, while the teams ahead of you lose. That's the rule they use, even though there are several team's resumes that might look better. It would be funny if we just kept winning ugly game after game, imo. Butt ugly w after w- it would drive people up a wall...lol.

Jan 15, 2017 02:27 PM #48

@KUSTEVE That's the 2011-12 season you just described. KU didn't win pretty and heavily relied on bad ball to keep guys out of foul trouble.

Jan 15, 2017 03:34 PM #49

http://www.rockchalktalk.com/2017/1/15/14277172/a-semi-statistical-recap-of-oklahoma-state ↗

Jan 15, 2017 03:55 PM #50

@BeddieKU23 said:

@bskeet

I love Vick, he's been really good for most of the year. Lately he hasn't been as great but today he had some great hustle plays as you pointed out. I think he struggles offensively to figure out when he should drive or shoot. He's still getting comfortable with this team. Defense is still a big work in progress as we saw yet again today. He's only going to get better

If Vick and Bragg can consistently play better I think this is a FF team. Now, can they be a little less loss on D before the NCAAT? Time will tell but getting minutes should help.

Jan 15, 2017 06:21 PM #51

@DCHawker

Nothing personal but you are the stereotype of the expression...the grass is always greener on the other side of the fence.

You complain about not playing anybody but if you look at all the other teams' schedules you will find the same pattern. There is only a limited number of elite teams and they don't normally play each other in pre-season except for a limited number of tournaments. The best way to determine the toughness of schedule is to look at the record against top 50 teams and the strength of schedule. According to Sagarin who lists both, here are a few...

  • Kentucky, 3-2, 31
  • Duke, 3-4, 42
  • Villanova, 5-1, 14
  • Baylor, 7-1, 6
  • UCLA, 3-1, 78
  • West Virginia, 4-1, 145
  • Gonzaga, 4-0, 95
  • Kansas, 6-1, 26

Keep in mind that after Gonzaga win over Saint Mary's its SOS went up from the mid 200s to 95; likewise, had Indiana not lost 6 games, KU's SOS would be in the single digits. Keep in mind that all of KU's wins in conference are against top 50 teams...actually top 30s.

Obviously when taken in isolation, numbers do not look as good; however, when taken in context and compared to other top teams that you say are better, KU's numbers look pretty damn good, wouldn't you agree.

Jan 15, 2017 07:30 PM #52

@JayHawkFanToo It's not green grass, brown grass or chartreuse grass... I think we're talking past one another. You are clearly inferring criticism in my comments. I'm not being critical re the schedule. We typically have one of the toughest non-conf schedules year in and year out - and play 2-3 top teams. Just hasn't played out that way this year.

You can slice and dice it any number of ways. If you want to use the Sagarin ratings, I would note that we've played the (tied for) fewest top 25 of any of those teams - just 2. Louisville, not listed above, has played 8 such games; Villanova 5. If you look at RPI, we've only have 4 top 50 wins - Duke at 15, TCU is next highest and then Nebraska (of all things). This year, so far, we simply don't have as many high quality wins as other teams (or that we typically do at this time). Our overall SOS is mostly a product of the fact that we haven't played any really bad teams - only 2 in the 200s.

And, it is simply a statement of fact that we haven't played ISU, WVU or Baylor yet - either at home or on the road.

Our overall schedule strength - and opportunity for high quality Ws - will obviously change in the next two weeks.

Again, we've beaten every team we've played since the first game - that's all we can do; can't control how other teams play. My point and only point is that IMO, there are at least 3 others teams that have better overall resumes at this point than we do - and that if we are #1 this week, which seems likely, it will be more a product of the fact that we were the last to lose, rather than relative merits of each team's resume....

Jan 15, 2017 08:31 PM #53

@DCHawker

Again, I used the top 50 because it is more consistent than the top 25 which is way too inconsistent; when KU played Indiana it was a top 5 team and now it is not even in the top 25; the top 50 change places but don't change that much.

If you look at the resumes I posted, you could say that Baylor and maybe Villanova have better resumes but Baylor has a bad loss at WVU and by that I mean a 21 point pasting while KU's loss was a 4 point OT loss to the team that went on to be #1.. If you want to look at joke schedules, look at Gonzaga. while they have played rankled team Iowa State (2 point win) and Arizona, the rest of the team have been dogs perhaps for the last game against overrated Saint Mary's and its strength of schedule went from the mid 200's to its current 95.

My question is...with which team would you have traded schedules? Like I indicated, had Indiana not gone into the crapper, KU's SOS is in single digits and we are not even having this conversation...and it would have had nothing to do with KU doing anything different, right My point is that team's records do not depend uniquely on what they do but also on what the team they have played do and so on. All things considered I am as happy as I can be with KU's record and I know the team is not even close to having peaked and will only get better. That's all.

Jan 15, 2017 10:11 PM #54

@JayHawkFanToo Again, we seem to be talking past one another. I wasn't and am not suggesting we trade schedules with anyone. And, I'm not complaining about KU's schedule or our record.

Again, my only point is that while we likely will be #1 tomorrow, that is more a product of being the team that has gone the longest without a loss (excepting Gonzaga), rather than on the overall resume AT THIS POINT.

I'm not at all suggesting that Baylor is better than us, but they unequivocally have more quality Ws at this point - Louisville, Oregon, Xavier and ISU and MSU. So does Villanova - Purdue (away), Notre Dame, Creighton and Xavier. I didn't mention Gonzaga - you did - but in addition to the win against a perhaps overrated St. Mary's, they've also beaten Arizona, Florida, and ISU. The other team in the conversation is UCLA. They've played a weak schedule overall, and have only one quality W, but it is arguably the single best win of the year - UK at Rupp (which, of course, we can and will match....).

As to losses, you characterize Baylor's as a bad one because of the margin, but they lost to a really good team on the road - and, we know from direct experience that double digit losses in Morgantown can be expected. I don't think that is a worse loss than a neutral court loss to an IU team that has turned out to be mediocre. Villanova's only loss was to a very good Butler team on the road. UCLA's only loss was by 2 to a full strength Oregon. Gonzaga of course doesn't have a blemish, but despite more quality wins, because they play so many teams with rankings in the 200s ad 300s, I don't think they rate.

Now, 2 weeks from now, when we've beaten UK, WVU, Baylor and ISU, we will unequivocally have the best resume in the country. We simply do not now....

Jan 15, 2017 10:12 PM #55

@Texas-Hawk-10 very true, our non conference SOS will improve after we go to Lexington, UK has the same trouble with the SEC looking like a bigger joke than the B12. I would still bet we end up in KC if we win the big 12.

Jan 15, 2017 10:33 PM #56

@Texas-Hawk-10 Great post. I do think we chase a moving target. Indiana was a top 10-12 team when we played them, Duke was top 3, and we have KY coming up. So if the critique about SOS is scheduling, I dont know if we can fault Self, other than that silly beat-up preseason ritual of blowing ESU, PittSt, or FHSU's ships clean out of the harbor, and replace them with more legitimate D1 foes. I think Self tries to balance the "confidence builder-cupcakes" vs some "name" foes in the nonconf.

I think what you said is spot on, but we see that the rankings truly is a sort of moving target. Take Baylor: some were shocked they got to be ranked #1, but then there is those 5 x top35 Ws, so the polls seemed to reflect that in their ranking.

The biggest question of all for Bill Self teams are if we are peaking by early March, have we addressed some weaknesses by then? Are we a better product for the Tourney seeding, which is where all these rankings rollercoasters really start to matter...

Jan 15, 2017 11:48 PM #57

@DCHawker said:

@JayHawkFanToo ... And, I'm not complaining about KU's schedule or our record.

This is what you wrote:

Who have we beaten? Duke, but without their bigs and they’ve now lost 4 games. No one else. No of the other top teams in the B12.

It sure sounds like complaining to me...never mind, we have reached an impasse and we should just leave it at that.

Jan 16, 2017 01:31 AM #58

@JayHawkFanToo It's not a complaint - it's a factual observation.....

Jan 16, 2017 01:36 AM #59

@DCHawker

Yep. I don't think one can really say KU has beet a S16 caliber team. This team will be harshly tested over the next two weeks.

Jan 16, 2017 01:50 AM #60

@DCHawker you are right. The Indiana loss is not looking good right now. I dont think our expectations are misplaced. We have three starters and two main reserves from an elite eight team that was playing at a championship level. We have just as much, if not more, talent than everyone in our conference. Yes its hard to win on the road, but K state, Tech, and Iowa State do not have any distinct advantage over us. Tommorow night would be a great time for our guys to start playing like we know they are capable of.

Jan 16, 2017 02:01 AM #61

I agree with all the pessimism. The loss to Okla St was simply unacceptable. Woe is us.

Jan 16, 2017 03:05 AM #62

KU is dealing with a short bench, a post position that has no depth and production beyond Lucas, and has struggled to beat the teams sitting 4th, 6th, 7th, 8th, and 10th in the league.

Basically KU has struggled to put away the bottom half of the league and now gets the top half of the league along with Kentucky thrown in there.

Combine the way KU is playing right now, the schedule KU has coming up over the next 7 games (3-4 is a legitimate possibility with the way KU is playing right now), the Big 12 being down (the Big 12 will be a 4-5 bid league this year), and KU's nonconference schedule rating tumbling as Indiana and Duke keep cratering and you get the possibility of KU not getting to go though Tulsa/KC looks like a real possibility right now.

Jan 16, 2017 03:28 AM #63

@Texas-Hawk-10 but I just get the feeling that any game now things are going to start looking better. The short bench doesnt help, but that isnt causing the issues at hand. To me, it looks like our guys are saving their energy to play offense. I don't think any of them are that slow and incapable of putting together consecutive stops.

There was a discussion earlier about Nova and Duke and their depth. Basically, those teams had one more sub than us. But in crunch time who played? That's right, the starters. Is one more man really that significant though? I doubt it. If anything, the shorter practice times and other things Self said they were doing will counteract guys playing an extra two or three minutes per game. So I don't think the short bench is too much to worry about because we need as much cohesion as possible just like the 2012 team. The real issue is bench production.

Jan 16, 2017 04:04 AM #64

@Texas-Hawk-10

Why do you think the Big 12 is down? The conference is as strong as it has ever been...

According to Pomeroy:

3 teams in the top 10, 4 in the top 25 including WVU at #2

8 teams or 80% of the Conference teams ranked in the top 35

According to Sagarin:

3 teams in the top 11, 4 in the top 25 including WVU at #1

8 teams or 80% of the Conference teams ranked in the top 34

According to Keneth Massey, the Big 12 is still ranked the #1 Confernced followed by the ACC.

The most recent Bracketology has the conference with 6 teams and does not even include KSU which is currently ranked #25. Other sites have the conference with 7 teams.

No other conference has the top to bottom numbers the Big 12 has.

Jan 16, 2017 04:10 AM #65

@HawkChamp The short bench is causing issues because Mason is playing 35 mpg and Graham is playing 34 mpg. Those numbers are only going to increase which means those 2 can't rest and conserve energy to play defense.

We've already seen Graham's shooting suffer this year and his tired legs won't go away this year. Mason's shooting won't continue either playing 35+ mpg either.

KU's offense will not keep up with this pace unless Self starts forcing Lightfoot and Coleby into the line up more in a traditional 3 out 2 in line up to give Mason and Graham more rest to keep their legs fresher.

Jan 16, 2017 04:40 AM #66

@JayHawkFanToo The Big 12 does not get 7 teams in. Not even close. The selection committee still values RPI above all else (there is no disputing this one). The Big 12 ends up with 4-5 at large caliber teams. Baylor (1), Kansas (5), West Virginia (23), TCU (25), ISU (47), OSU (52), and KSU (53) are the only teams in at large range. OSU isn't getting in and unless ISU picks up their play, they won't get in either. KSU is also down low enough that an at large isn't guaranteed for them either.

The Big 12 has 3 good teams, 4-5 average teams, and 2-3 bad teams. The Big 12 is down from years past.

I don't care what Sagarin says, the ACC is better top to bottom. The Big 12 might be the second best league (Big 12 and Big East are neck and neck to me), but that isn't saying much because the B10 is way down this year and the PAC 12 and SEC have no depth beyond the top 3-4 teams in each league.

This is going to be a year with a lot of mid majors making the tournament.

Jan 16, 2017 05:28 AM #67

@Texas-Hawk-10

The NCAA has indicated it uses the RPI as one of many tools to determine the tournament field; it is also on record as saying it also uses two computerized methods....Sagaring and Pomeroy. The NCAA just announced it will be reviewing the RPI and plans to implement the changes for the 2017-2018 season; it has invited two individuals to make presentations and propose changes to the RPI...do you wantv to make a guess who they invited? Jeff Sagarin and Ken Pomeroy.

The RPI was never intended to be used the way it is; in its present form, it can lower the RPI of a team for beating a team with a low RPI and increase the RPI of a team that loses to a team with high RPI. In other words, KU's RPI can go up by losing to WVU or Baylor and go down by beating Texas or Oklahoma in conference play...it does not make any sense and this is why the other systems are much better since this condition is not allowed.

I still think the conference gets in at least 6 and possibly 7 teams. Since you think it only gets 4-5, how about a little friendly wager? Let's call 5 a push, less than 5, you win, more than 5, I win...what say you?

Jan 16, 2017 05:38 AM #68

@JayHawkFanToo The NCAA can say whatever BS they want to. They weight the RPI far heavier than anything else. It's the only reason why 8 and 9 loss KU teams entering the tournament got 2 seeds when we lost to Stanford and a 7th seeded WSU team that was rated top 15-20 in the polls and computer rankings most of that year. Those were KU teams that should've been 3-4 seeds at best.

If you want to bet, don't try and stack the odds in your favor that much and expect anyone to bite.

Jan 16, 2017 05:56 AM #69

@Texas-Hawk-10

The numbers area based on what each of us predicted you said 4-5, I said 6-7 and I though it would be fair to have a push/tie number. Let's eliminate the tie and call it 5.5; 5 or less you win, 6 or more I win.

Considering no conference has ever sent more than 70% of its teams, in our case 7 teams, realistically I only have 2 numbers, 6 and 7; you, on the other hand, have 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5, and each of those numbers has a higher probability than my numbers...fair enough?

Jan 16, 2017 11:48 AM #70

I don't think any team in the country has a tougher stretch coming up then KU does. @ West Virginia, @ Kentucky and home vs Baylor in a 8 day stretch. Imagine if KU wins all three games, there would be no denying that KU is the #1 team in the country then.

The Next 10 games will shape this team for better or worse. We will truly see how good these guys are. 6 road games, hostile environments, emotionally charged up opponents and fans. We will see how much Heart Frank, Devonte, Josh, Landen, Svi, Carlton, Legerald have. This is what College Basketball is all about right here.

Jan 16, 2017 12:53 PM #71

@Texas-Hawk-10 6 teams at least. The Big 3, along with Texas Tech, the Grape Apes, and the Clones.