Very good Analysis KonkeyDong.
Usually we at least have 1 recruit on board so this is unusual we've hit December with nobody on board and nobody a clear lock. The biggest issue I've seen with a lot of the players we've recruited is they are all looking at package deals. Jones & Okafor from Duke have made it the "cool things to do". You hear more and more about kids wanting to play together now than ever.
Kids have also realized they have the most leverage in holding out til Spring. With Roster turnover/transfers and Coaching changes unless you know for sure none of those are likely why would a top recruit sign early and risk having to do it all over if something happened. Heck they don't even need to sign,they can hold out on just signing financial aid papers. As a High Schooler I can see why, as a KU fan it drives us crazy on the waiting game.
The other issue is that basically everyone is waiting on UK's Platoon System and how much Roster turnover they will have at the end of the season. I say it's likely all of their 6 big men could go Pro. It would be a huge help to our recruiting chances with Diallo, Bragg, Zimmerman, Maker (if re-classifies) if at least 3 of them come back. Right now the most likely candidates to come back would be Lee, Lyles, Poythress. Towns is top 10 prospect, Stein and Johnson have played at a high level worthy of Lottery discussion. The hype left Poythress after his Freshman yr, Lyles is good but what position will he play in NBA, and Lee gets the least PT and would stand best to keep developing.
6 games in I can't see Kansas having major roster turnover and certainly not a coaching change. Transfers maybe, but I don't see anyone who would be a serious candidate for that right now.
We could get everyone back (unlikely)
We could lose just Alexander (likely)
We could lose Perry, Cliff, Wayne, Kelly (only if the later 2 improve exponentially).
Jaylen Brown: I'm thinking the only way we can get him is if Wayne or Kelly go pro. Definitely the best prospect left on the board.
Dorsey: I think ends up out West and it's a real possibility that him and Rabb could end up at Cal. If Wayne left its the only way I could see him coming east.
Rabb: Would be a great get but I'm just not sold on his interest. Maybe if Zimm. committed he could draw Rabb as well as they are HS teammates and AAU buddies.
Zimmerman: I think we are the leaders but UK and UCLA will fight us to the end.
Diallo: Basically between us, hometown St. Johns, and UK. His recruitment has been very quiet. Definitely would be the rim protector we need.
Bragg: As stated Kansas or Kentucky but UCLA has hung around as well. I will be pissed if we lose out on him because he would the perfect fit for Self.
Maker: Who knows until January what he will do.
Ingram won't be leaving North Carolina.
Swanigan: We didn't make his final list I believe.
Lovett: No reason to get a PG in this class not unless he was a certainty to RS.
I've wanted Bragg, Diallo, and Brown as the dream class. It's likely we will have 3-4 Scholly's to give. Brown would be the perfect Combo SG/SF. He can do everything. Likely losing Cliff and getting Diallo and Bragg would be the perfect 1-2 punch to infuse with Perry,Lucas and Hunter.