Lots of state pride here: Sen. Moran's hearing, Girod supporting NIL for student athletes, and Emmert trying to act all high and mighty with his $2 million salary and pretending like he cares about anything but maintaining the status quo https://www2.ljworld.com/news/ku/2020/feb/11/ku-would-support-student-athlete-compensation-chancellor-says-at-congressional-hearing/ ↗
FarmerJayhawk
12380 posts
@Jayballer72 said in 2021 Recruiting:
@DanR said in 2021 Recruiting:
@Jayballer72 We liked the old guy. But it's your choice: ROck ChalK!
ROCK CHALK MY FRIEND
Crap now I have to learn your new photo 😂. Glad you’re sticking with us my dude
@approxinfinity said in The democratic nominee:
Which of the candidates do you think would beat Trump most heartily in a debate?
Klobuchar. Pete and Warren are too canned, Biden forgets what day it is, and Bernie would lose his cool and have a coronary.
The last 48 hours is why everyone hates dook. Totally bailed out by a garbage call at the end against Carolina then again Hurt goes MMA on a guy and they call it a cylinder foul. F em
Trump will be in the debates. His campaign is always prepping.
To me the only guys that deserve it until further notice are Frank, Devonte, and T-Rob.
@Kcmatt7 said in Marcus Morris:
@BShark said in Marcus Morris:
@Kcmatt7 Banned
Sweet 16, Round of 32, Elite 8.
He was on the Northern Iowa AND the VCU squads that got beat.
What did he do to deserve to be up there? He wasn't even a 1st team All-American. He is going to be hung in the rafters as an All-Time great at KU, a top 4 most prestigious basketball program in history, and he wasn't even one of the top 5 players in the country during his best season lol.
I'm sorry, but nope.
Throw in the character issues and absolutely not.
I'm absolutely with you on this one. The rafters should be reserved for the elite of the elite. IDGAF what he did in the pros or anything like that. No Final Fours, never made First Team AA. Don't water down the rafters.
@nuleafjhawk said in NUMBER ONE IN THE ENTIRE UNIVERSE KANSAS JAYHAWKS:
@BeddieKU23 So, how did this happen? Surely Self, after all these years, didn't wake up before the season and say " Oh, what the heck, let's play some defense this year".
Did the team just evolve? Did they say " Nobody can put the ball in the hoop so we may as well just play good defense"?
Either way, I personally love to see the good "D". Love to see the opponents scoring in the 40's and 50's.
We have a bunch of really good individual and team defenders: Dot is pesky, Marcus is Gary Payton 2.0, Ochai is solid, and Doke is the eraser behind everything. It's really amazing how big a difference a good rim protector makes in Self's system.
Well, one game we don't have to worry about at all is ISU at home. Halliburton out for the year with a wrist fracture.
@BShark said in NUMBER ONE IN THE ENTIRE UNIVERSE KANSAS JAYHAWKS:
I'm extremely interested to see how KU performs in Waco playing 4 out the whole time and hopefully everyone stays healthy unlike the first game.
We’re gonna beat that ass silly
@BShark said in 2021 Recruiting:
@jayballer73 Ask the sage @FarmerJayhawk
Oh boy if I’m the sage we’re in deep dog turds.
We’d rather have Harmon in 20, but I don’t think we’re a serious option. That’s a sandbox we’re not really throwing our model John Deere tractors in at this time.
@BeddieKU23 in yesterday's presser. I think he's really going to show out next year and could see him playing starter's minutes.
Also sounds like PG is the least of our concern in '21 recruiting. Harris has been really good according to Self.
Bates was at the game Monday
@BShark said in 2021 Recruiting:
Zach Clemence wants to play in the big 12. Hope it's for the good guys.
I suspect we'll send Norm down to Sunrise to offer at some point. Need to check in on Brown while we're at it.
@Kcmatt7 said in The magnitude of DNC technical ineptitude...:
I am not worried about paying for it. To me it isn't a budget issue. The potential risk of hyperinflation combined with it likely turning into an economic disaster is what scares me.
According to the link you sent me, to make the funding work they have to increase the VAT to 22%. Which is outrageously high when combined with sales tax. Already in Wyandotte County, Sales Tax is 9.13%. Adding 22% more to that number is insane. Adding 22% more to middle-man transactions too.
Let's set up a scenario.
Hanes T-shirt costs $10 today at Walmart. With tax it is $10.92.
Under the Yang proposal, the Cotton company sells it to the manufacturer at .50 a shirt (roughly). With the tax, they are now .61 a shirt. Then there is the manufacturer who sells to Hanes. They used to sell the shirt at $1. But now that they are buying at .61 they increased their cost to Hanes to 1.15. With the tax that comes to $1.41. Now, Walmart used to buy the shirt for $4.00. Now the shirt costs $4.40 and after the taxes is costs $5.36. And now Walmart sells the shirt for $11.99 and the final total comes to a total of $15.72 after local and state sales tax.
That is a 44% increase in goods, that will be passed on to the consumer, at the very least. This doesn't include the increases companies will have to pay for items just to operate. Over 50% is not out of the question.
It is very likely in my mind that goods would increase 35%-50% and massive layoffs would ensue. Tanking the economy.
This doesn't take into the account that demand for housing would likely increase during this same time period. What I'll call the "period of bliss." This is a year to six months of the UBI where companies haven't adjusted yet and people feel rich from their additional income. Because of this, banks and lenders will take advantage of poor unsuspecting people who are bound to get laid off. So we end up with another banking and housing bubble.
I hate the idea of relying on the government for income. I could be convinced that giving college kids $1000 a month instead of free tuition would lower the barrier for entry to college and level the playing field, sure. Or even people 18-26 to get their lives started. I'd hear that argument.
Now you take all of this into account before getting into taxing capital gains at such a high rate too. Capital Gains taxes are stupid. I'm going to say it again. Capital Gains taxes are stupid. They are part of the reason inferior companies and products routinely win out. And people invest less because of Capital Gains. Where if you could just invest when you had the cash and pull it out when you needed it, you'd have more flexibility and invest more money into the economy and into better companies.
I simply cannot support a candidate who wants UBI. It has been proven that increasing sales tax (VAT) disproportionately hurts the poor. Even if you are providing them cash, it's all relative. There would be 6-12 months of bliss for lower-middle income families. And then the economy would collapse, with them being the first people to get laid off. And they'd never have been so poor after the essentially mandated inflation.
I can't imagine the regulations that would have to get implemented at the same time as this to even get it close to working. The amount of predatory lending and bankruptcy regulations that would have to get put in place would be insane. To stave off mass layoffs you'd have to raise the cost companies pay in unemployment to astronomical levels.
Perhaps I need to try to find the positives in it. I just don't really see any...
You should be concerned about paying for it since all this is related: increases in government debt do one of two things: either crowd out private investment, in which case the money supply is unaffected OR is purchased by the Federal Reserve in which case "prints" the money and deposits it in banks which loan it out, increasing the monetary base. Each dollar increase in the monetary base increases money supply by some factor greater than 1 (depends on a few ratios). That's really how inflation happens, assuming tight markets like we have now. So a deficit financed UBI would drastically increase the amount of net spending throughout the economy and put inflationary pressure on the macroeconomy. Paying for it through taxation would suck a lot of that money back out since taxes reduce aggregate demand.
Empirically, there's no evidence a VAT would lead to any kind of hyperinflation in the medium to long term. There may be a short term bump, but hyperinflation is a sustained monetary phenomenon. Last study I saw was from France in the early 10's. They increased the VAT a percentage point and inflation rose about .5% points for a year or two then returned to pre-increase trends. Market forces cause prices to stay someone in check. In the t-shirt example, if Firm B would eat some of the tax and sell the shirt for $15, Firm A would have to respond by lowering its prices. And most VAT's, at least in the EU, exempt necessities.
I'm not a huge fan of VAT's just because they're hard to enforce and can be somewhat regressive, but I'm not concerned about inflation given the likely macroeconomic impact.
As far as a UBI, I'm a big fan so long as A) it replaces the current welfare state and B ) is deposited electronically into a bank account and C) has a sufficient clawback provision where we're not sending $1000/month to Bill Gates. Something like a 30 cent reduction for every dollar over $100,000 could suffice, but those parameters are certainly negotiable and budget dependent. I'd like to pay for it with the current tax structure or with something like the Hall-Rabushka flat tax. A UBI would be much more efficient than the current system since it's much easier to administer (no case agents verifying eligibility, etc.), it's less paternalistic, and brings people into the financial system.
@BShark said in The magnitude of DNC technical ineptitude...:
How hard is it to rig an election? JFC.
Iowa is impossible to rig lol. No secret ballot, supporters count their own votes, then precinct captains count the last round, all in public view of the campaigns, journos, and voters. Plus we have the paper ballot backup. I've been involved in some shady ish over the years in elections but the Iowa D caucus is basically built in a lab to prevent rigging. Also, EVERYONE SHOULD ALWAYS USE PAPER BALLOTS FOR EVERYTHING GOOD LORD.
Yang is certainly the most likable Democrat in the field. UBI would only affect inflation if it was deficit financed. I would think some of the savings would be from beneficiaries foregoing means tested benefits like SNAP and TANF.
@bskeet said in moderates and progressives:
Curious if a moderate like Klobuchar or Pete could pick up votes if they repositioned themselves as a 'progressive that isn't a socialist' and push Bernie and Warren further into a fringe space.
I doubt it. I don’t think there really is a moderate in the D field per se. They all message on progressive bona fides. Bernie is Bernie is Bernie. I don’t think he’d change his message with a gun to his head.
@approxinfinity said in moderates and progressives:
I'd rather Klobuchar stay in. She's got as good a chance as anyone of attractive Warren voters that don't favor Bernie. I'd rather she keep Biden behind. She's the sensible moderate candidate.
Oh yeah, as far as preferences I’m with you. Just had my war room hat on
@jayballer73 said in 2020 Football Recruiting:
Well checked it out and 247 has us ranked like 56th class. - While that is far from great, it sure is headed in the right direction and better then we have had in awhile right ? - -Again ALL FRESHMEN and then you add in these PWO'S and then all them colored shirts lol - -hell I'm not sur what all the different colored shirts even mean lol - as long as there is no PURPLE SHIRTS we good lol. - - - ROCK CHALK ALL DAY LONG BABY
Definitely a positive step. We beat 10 P5 teams as of now, which is big. Need to step it up a notch in 21 but I like where we finished.
Also, first class since Gill's last one that's all high school. That's big time for rebuilding.
All in all, couldn't have really asked for more today other than Blidi, but Anokwuru isn't a scrub and arguably plays a spot we need more (edge vs. 5 tech).
Just got a whiff yesterday Bryant was planning on signing today so thought I'd call it. Recruiting is weird.
There's Bryant!
Bryant is still planning on signing this afternoon, with Kansas.
Anokwuru is in
Scott put in a CB pick for Bryant to KU, and he usually gets his info from the coaches. So they expect something. Whether he qualifies or not is TBD but they must feel good enough about it to offer him a counter.
Walk-on OT from How Blue is Your Valley NorthSouth Westish
@BShark I would be very surprised if we missed on Anokwuru. I know Bryant's plan is to sign today but we'll see
Feel really good about Anokwuru, should be official within the hour. I think there's a good chance we get Bryant yet too.
@BShark said in 2020 Football Recruiting:
@FarmerJayhawk so weird. Why manufacture drama only to sign with tech
No idea. There were rumors about grades. He's an interesting kid too. Lives in a group home in a rough part of the state, no parents. Doesn't really do interviews.
@approxinfinity said in moderates and progressives:
@FarmerJayhawk I can't see Bloomberg appealing to anyone. I think big money candidates taking shots from the sidelines feels disingenuous and there are closer lillypads to Biden for his base to hop to.
How quickly do you think Warren concedes if she loses NH by a similar margin? Does her base go to Sanders quickly?
Bloomberg will appeal to the #NeverSocialism types who make up a sizable portion of the party. Pew put out a study a day or so ago about the views of Democratic voters. I think there's real heartburn about the potential of a Bernie nomination, and a lot of establishment D's will move that way if Biden and Pete fall apart (which definitely could happen).
If Warren gets 3rd or worse in NH she'll drop out that night or the next day. There won't be money left to go on, and she's already canceling ad buys in NV and SC. There's 11 days between NH and Nevada, so they'll move that way fairly quickly. I'd also say a lot of Warren voters don't necessarily have Bernie as their second choice. It'll certainly put pressure on Klobuchar to drop out to move some more moderate voters to Biden or Pete's column before NV.
Missed on Blidi, but I think we get Anokwuru, Dotson, and Bryant.
Warren is toast unless she pulls a miracle and wins NH. Other point I’d make is it’s about the math, it’s about the math, it’s about the (delegate) math. All states now allocate proportionally over the 15% viability threshold. There are some at large delegates and some in Congressional or state legislative districts. 2/3 of all delegates will be allocated by the end of March. About 15% are superdelegates that can’t vote on the first ballot at the DNC, but if we go to a second ballot both super and normal delegates are unpledged. Then the horsetrading begins.
The upshot is Bernie will try to rack up delegates in smaller caucus states since he’s more popular with that type of electorate. Biden needs black voters in the diverse primaries in the South. And don’t forget the total wildcard here: Bloomberg. If Biden starts to fade (say he wins S.C. but barely and loses NV), people looking in that lane may turn to Bloomberg and his bottomless war chest. If Boot Edge Edge or Warren keeps going through Super Tuesday and gets delegates, Biden gets a bunch, and Bloomberg gets some, we could be headed for a contested convention and WHEW BOY buckle up. Bloomberg is best positioned (along with Bernie) to go the distance. 1,990 is the magic number. Popular vote won’t matter nearly as much as pledged delegate accumulation. Have to perform well both locally and statewide to maximize your haul.
As a former political hack this is going to be fun to follow
@Crimsonorblue22 said in Super Bowl:
What's everybody think about the Jayhawks saying home of the Chiiiiiieeeeffs!? I guess it was loud and proud tonight.
I think it's pretty tacky. Don't mess with the anthem.
I think we close with Bryant, Dotson, Caldwell, and Blidi tomorrow. Really nice job closing from the staff.
@BeddieKU23 said in 2021 Recruiting:
staff making a move for Bates after that offer? @FarmerJayhawk
Yessir
Almost gonna get -14.5
Shaka fouling down 12 under a minute is very Shaka
Hudy sighting
Are the zebras point shaving?
Shaka and shitting his pants in Allen. Iconic
Nice pass from Dot off the rim
UPS is gonna smoke someone passing it
Dot took off like a top fuel dragster
Nice hustle play after totally whiffing
Niiiice Och
Feed the beasf
That works