I may be drinking the red and blue kool-aid, but I think we still have a decent shot at a #1 seed.
First, we should take care of business at home against TT. It is senior night. Emotion should be high. But this is not a gimme.
Second, go to WVU and take down a highly-competitive Huggins team with size. But we'll have size in Black and Trailer who might be a better duo to match up against the mountaineers.
At that point, I'm going to say we're still a #2.
When we get to conference tourney time, there could be some upsets that could help us. The ACC tourney will be a test for Virginia to pull off. I tend to trust Florida to handle the SEC competition, but Arizona could be upended in the PAC12. Wichita State may come through unscathed, but I'm going to say the odds are pretty good that one of these teams will lose in their conference tourney.
With a loss from one of those teams, KU is in the conversation for a #1 unless they bow out in the first game of the tourney.
If KU gets to the Big12 championship game, they are being considered for a #1 seed --with or without a loss from the top row. And if they win, they are almost certainly a #1 seed --even if the other teams win out -- by virtue of their accomplishments against the Top 50 teams in the B12 tourney they will likely encounter.
We actually have an advantage by playing in the Big12 -- more upside if we win than any of the other teams other than maybe Virginia.