@JayHawkFanToo I could actually see all of those teams winning their game. They are at least favorable matchups on paper compared to what they could have been.
Kcmatt7
11050 posts
@BeddieKU23 Them holding Auburn to 19 points in the first half was more concerning to me... :astonished:
@BShark Oddly enough, I think KSU matches up with that lineup pretty well.
@mayjay Yea I keep waiting for that UK team to revert back to what they were a month ago. Hasn't happened yet though.
SGA and Knox have become great players and Diallo looks like he is playing for draft position finally.
But, a week to gameplan for Brucie is a scary thing if I'm UK. Especially if they get Wade back.
@mayjay Lowest seed to win it all was an 8. So odds are not in the double digit seeds favors to advance past UK if that ends up being how it shakes out.
@Texas-Hawk-10 thanks.
@BShark Amazingly frustrating. Will be so upset if they somehow win it all this year.
UK going to play all double-digit seeds all the way to the FF.
Would love to see this Nevada team do it though. So fun to watch.
AAC Sucks
What a crazy f-ing tournament this season
@Hawk8086 Yea just read all the news and reports on it. But the main thing was the knowingly playing rapists.
Two of the "trough" games were away games. One "peak" was against the 86th best Defense. The other peak (WVU) was an anomaly imo. Especially considering it was a 3rd game in 3 days. Not really a good basis for any analysis. This is not a good statistical analysis just as a whole.
Just from a glance at KU's losses, 6 of the 7 losses came when our opponents shot the ball at a .483 percentage or higher. The one loss not giving that up, TTU. In which we gave up 15 offensive boards, turned the ball over 15 times (9 of them steals) and lost the free throw battle.
When KU plays good D, they win. We cannot give up better than .483 shooting or we lose. This team has actually shot remarkably consistent all season long.
Here is my basis. Comparing opponents 2pt % and KU's 3pt %, you can see whether or not we gained an advantage by shooting 3s that night. Out of 36 games, KU did not gain an advantage in 10 of those games. 7 of those games were our losses. 3 of them though, were wins. ISU, WVU, and UK. All tight games. So, according to my analysis (which is obviously subject to what variables I chose and the time I felt like spending on this) KU actually gains more of an advantage when they play solid 2pt defense than when shooting the ball well.
We actually won 6 of our 10 worst shooting nights. 3 of which, we still gained an advantage shooting the 3. However, all 7 losses came when giving up .512 or better from 2pt%. It is also harder to get in a rhythm in that scenario where you only play half-court offense.
KU must, play good D in order to win games. It has little to do with shooting. And, the math shows that this team is playing better D now, than at any point in the season. We have had 5 consecutive 3pt% advantage games. 9 of the last 10 we have gained an advantage. And, basically ever sense the Baylor game, this team has shot the ball 35% from 3 OR still gained an advantage with 3pt shooting.
We have yet to have a cold night AND play good D besides the UK game. By that I mean, under 30% from 3 and holding a team to under 50% from 2pt. This team seems to let one side feed the other. Good D creates Good O. Then, Good O creates confidence and adrenalin and in turn create more Good D. This team is playing better and more consistent than they have all year. I do not expect a "Trough" to come without allowing 50+% from 2pt. So, it won't be a cold night to blame if we lose in the E8 this year. It will be a piss-poor defensive showing.
Also, I'd rather play Clemson. Auburn plays blue collar ball mixed with run and gun. They shoot the 3 ball incredibly well, and we defend it like poo.
Essentially, it comes down to if you think you want KU to play a good defensive team or good offensive team though. Clemson is a great defensive team with a good offense. Auburn is a great offensive team with a good defense. Both teams finished poorly down the stretch.
We know Bruce Pearl is a very good coach. Brad Brownell seems to be a slightly above average, but nothing special. Neither coach has had great March success in their careers yet. I'd rather play against Brownell though, if I have the choice.
@BShark Wonder how pissed NBA scouts are that Duke is playing zone. Really aren't a good defensive team straight up. Just have unreal length and quickness to play a great zone.
I would 100% be using this against K recruiting from here on out. But clearly that didn't matter for next season.
@BShark As long as K-State doesn't go full choke job.
I think Doke will be lucky to play 20 minutes before fouling out if we end up playing Duke. It will take a special effort from Vick, Newman and Svi going ballz to the wallz rebounding. Also, a great job from Vick in the middle of the zone.
Optimistically speaking, if there is any team in CBB that could shoot Duke out of that zone, I'd think it would be us.
@BShark I mean, I agree that I don't think it happens lol. But Duke is crushing any M2M teams. At least Cuse can force them to work for a basket.
Bill has to be thinking about Duke already though. I'm sure he has a gameplan of some sort. Junk D. Zone. Something.
@RockChalkinTexas More like rooting against the ACC.
I like Roy. Just don't want to see a 2 ACC team FF.
@BShark I honestly think Cuse has a better shot than MSU would have.
MSU never clicked as a team this season. Too many individuals trying to make plays instead of moving the ball. Glad to see Izzo lose though. Slimeball.
@BShark And got a jump ball on a clear foul and a turnover on what would be called a foul at the end of the games 99% of the time...
Cuse is a mediocre team and MSU just proved again how down the Big 10 was this year.
Big 10 only has 1 team going Sweet 16. Was really close to none.
Tough draw for MSU. Facing a zone like that on short prep time sucks. Now I'm just hoping Cuse wrecks Duke. I feel very confident we can dismantle the Cuse zone better than we can handle the Duke size.
@Buster-1926 Replays the last 3 days have ruined a few great games. Almost makes the sport unwatchable honestly. It shouldn't come down to calls at the end of a game. Honestly, it probably messes with the evening out of calls that would happen over time.
@Crimsonorblue22 not a good matchup for him today. Crafty guy that is bigger, stronger and more skilled than him.
@BShark agreed. Felt in control the whole time. Bill pulled the right strings pretty much the entire 40 minutes.
@wissox Offensive rebounds were a killer today. Shootings percentage doesn’t account for that necessarily. But as a fan, it looks like they scored a lot.
@BeddieKU23 Nova played out of their minds today.
Dukes Zone is scary good. Can’t wait for Syracuse to wreck both them and MSU though.
@Statmachine fool me once
@DoubleDD zero. Unless somehow scouts tell him he needs to come back and do what’s he’s done the past two weeks for an entire season.
Would legit be a Naismith POY favorite next season.
I have to think Newman has pushed himself into the draft.
A healthier Doke next week will be nice. Hope to see Clemson next week.
Because giving up 3s is more fun obviously.
Why don’t teams just trade fouls right here? Like I’d make SHU hit 6 more free throws than us
Reviews are the worst thing to happen to basketball
@BShark 100% would have.
@DoubleDD that’s enough. The horse is plenty dead
Newman needs to keep that Egyptian emperor chin hair forever
Put Sosinski in and go full Elbow Delgado.
At this point, just foul Delgado every time he touches it
Doke needs to go back in with 6. Can’t have him in late anyways.
@Crimsonorblue22 getting out of Lawrence might be what he needed. No distractions... I haven’t heard good things about how he spends his free time
@BeddieKU23 well this team can beat literally anyone if the 4 guards all play to their abilities. Graham is the one slacking tonight oddly enough.
@BeddieKU23 glimpse of the old Vick.
Someone pushed the B-Dubs button
Sub doke now and give him the 12 tomeout
Doke and the coming of Silvio let this team do a lot. Can run better with anyone now and can take it to you in the post if we need to.
@DoubleDD I’m not that’s why I said let him get his...
@BShark exactly. It’s why we didn’t double him from the start.
Delgado can get his as long as the D stays solid everywhere else. Not sure I want us doubling him in the post if it means someone else gets going and can get hot.
@BShark Vegas is pretty high on Buffalo for what it’s worth