I am not selling this team short (keep in mind, I have stated that I am optimistic to a fault). I say this team makes to to the elite 8 and maybe a final four! Let me break down my overly optimistic view.
What teams have lacked in recent years that led to an early exit:
1.) 2013-14- 3 point shooting, toughness, offensive flow. We saw all three on display against Stanford. They packed the paint and took away our only offense (Wiggins). We were not ready to take on a solid team without size (Embiid's late injury), and our point was not able to get into the lane and crash the zone.
2.) 2012-13- Lack of point guard play plain and simple. I have never did bash on EJ because of how grateful I was that he waited his turn and he played a huge role in making it to the NC. But he just was not a point guard.
3.) 2011-12- Maturity. Yes I know, we made it to the elite eight. But that was as heart breaking as an early exit. The Morris twins were not models to the under classman, and Taylor was a late bloomer. He was not ready to lead a team.
Now fast forward to this season, we do not have the luxury of the past teams but have the essentials the past teams didn't:
1.) A point guard whose in control with a bulldog mentality that has a contagious toughness about him. Couple that with the talented young gun in Graham, we are in good hands. No one will be able to do what VCU or Michigan did to us.
2.) 3 point shooting. This one is self-explanatory. We have a zone buster in Greene and all the perimeter players are capable of making open treys.
3.) Opened up offensive system. The offensive doesn't go completely stagnant when you take away one player. Focus on the perimeter, Ellis will face us and take it to the hole. Double our bigs, dish it out for the trey. And when all else fails, Mason gets in the lane and creates shots for himself and others.
4.) A toughness that has our back up point guard get in the face of the leading scorer for KSU.
We don't have size but scheming can reduce the effects. We don't have the awe-inspiring talent but i'll take toughness in day of the weak. And lastly, this is a new year filled with the unknown. So why not fill it with fill it with the best case scenarios! :D