I love me some Tarik Black (started a tread about his star performance for the Lakers late last night), but I think a lot of this is off the mark. Which isn't to say that Pastner is a good coach, and obviously I think most would agree even if we respect his job performance he is nowhere close to being in the realm of Self, but here's some flaws:
Saying that Black guessed wrong and went to Memphis, as opposed to playing for Self or Coach K for 4 years.. Neither program offered him a scholarship out of high school, and in my quick search it didn't look like either recruited him either. So, based on the fact that he is now a viable NBA player, did Black guess wrong? Or did Self & Coach K guess wrong by not recruiting him out of high school? All of the above? None of the above?
ESPN & rivals recruiting sites show he had offers from Florida, Alabama, Marquette, and maybe Tennessee (rivals lists the Volunteers as having offered him, ESPN doesn't). I don't know the recruiting situations at the time at the other schools that did offer him. At a glance we could make the assumption that Florida and Marquette would have been better choices, based on their successes under Donovan and Buzz Williams. But we also don't know how firm those offers were. Perhaps they were conditional offers that could have been withdrawn if better players committed. KU offers a great many players every year, far more than they would ever have scholarships for (even accounting for showing lesser talent the door). But as players start to commit offers are withdrawn. So maybe Memphis was the best option at the time.
Something else I don't know and would require a great deal of research is the roster compositions at the time Black was deciding where to go. Maybe he would have been buried on the bench at KU, Dook, Florida, or Marquette. As a freshman, Black played 22.6 mpg, starting 24 games. His minutes went up in his sophomore season, and he started 31 games. So playing time was available to him out of the blocks under Pastner. Maybe the same couldn't be said at those other schools. And maybe it was court time at the D1 level that made Black good enough to finally attract Self & coach K. Perhaps we should give him credit for that.
What I don't recall is why at the end of 3 years Pastner was "playing ordinary players instead of Black." Black's junior season saw his mpg drop to 20.8. If anybody remembers there being a mention of this when we were recruiting Black following his junior season or when we landed him feel free to chime in. Maybe Black had some issues, maybe Pastner felt he had recruited better talent to replace him. Maybe Pastner reduced his minutes to develop younger talent. Maybe Black indicated that he would graduate early and would look to transfer after his junior season, prompting Pastner to cut his minutes. Maybe his junior season was when Black got out of control with his fouling, thus reducing his minutes. I don't know.
I think it is important to not ignore the Self/KU factor in Black's NBA endeavors. Don't think that the increased visibility of playing at a school like KU didn't help him land some workouts and looks. I mean, did Self really transform him that much? Was Pastner really that unable to "figure out how to help Tarik Black play successfully in D1"? His per game stats at KU were career college lows: 13.5 mpg, 5.5 ppg, 3.9 rpg (although I did check and the per minute stats show equal or greater production than at Memphis). Playing at KU can open some doors that playing at Memphis can't. And that can't be a knock on Pastner this early in his college coaching career. Aside from maybe his friendship with RC Buford, Self didn't have that kind of pull while at Tulsa (where Self would have been at Pastner's age and at the equivalent point their head coaching careers).
And lastly, I wonder if Black would have had the chance to showcase his talents as much as he did had Embiid not gotten hurt. How much of NBA teams' willingness to give Black a look were based on his late season and NCAA tourney performances? My guess is a lot. He might not have had those same opportunities to showcase his talents more had JoJo been healthy.
While I certainly didn't set out to start the Josh Pastner fan club and so fervently defend the guy, I just can't belittle him so much to think he failed, or "botched it", or that he "sucks" or is in the running for stupidest coach in NCAA history. Maybe we should look at it like this: Black wasn't on Self's radar out of high school. It wasn't until Pastner had him for 3 years that Self (and Coach K) deemed him good enough to contribute at a blue blood program. So maybe we should be thanking Pastner for being just a rung in the ladder of Tarik's basketball ascension...