My view on yesterday was that our help defense left guys open. My main thought as ISU was making their run was to simply match up, be "in their grill" as @HawkChamp said, and help only when your offensive player was near the lane.
I do disagree, though, just a little bit. How would yesterday's game have changed if we had Udoka? Remember, our help defense is MORE necessary when the lane is vulnerable. The threat of the drive to the hoop requires the second defender. If that threat is marginalized by a shot blocker, my view is that we would not have to be so frantic in our help defense. It would be interesting to see how that would have impacted their three point shooting.
But there is no doubt that we can win playing the way we do, with our personnel. The bigger point that @HawkChamp is making, as I see it, is that every team has its warts. Rarely do you get the perfect combination. You can win with or without a shot blocker. This scheme and personnel can certainly win a national title.
Remember the age old narrative -- guards win titles? Well we have the best guards in the country. Period.
So I am completely with @HawkChamp here in what he's getting at -- screw the rim protector. We don't have one. We did play sloppy yesterday, to be sure, rim protector or no.
This team's margin for error, as I believe Self has mentioned earlier this season, is thinner.
In the big picture, this team is volatile .. like a stock that has ups and downs. If one invests, he/she is aware of the "beta." We are a high beta team.
We don't have solid baseline of reliable defense. In investing terms, a good, reliable defense would lower the beta (or volatility). It's why Self (and most coaches) preach defense. Good defense is much more reliable than good offense. The only reason you become an offense first team is because you have too. As a defense first team, you can still be explosive and aggressive offensively. That is where Self, in the past, has played it too conservatively. You can be dynamic offensively, just as we are now AND play bad-a** defense. Now, he simply has a team incapable of being a lock down defensive team. Thus the increased volatility.
However, I've always believed that playing conservative offensively increases the volatility as well. You allow lesser teams to stay in the game. But good defense is certainly more reliable.
So, are we any different than we've always been? Maybe not as much as we think. Our pedestrian offenses -- meaning deliberate, work the ball, toss it to the block, also created volatility. But I think it's a bit more this season.
Sadly, I think we were on the verge of a perfect combination with Udoka and four guards, with Lucas off the bench. Self clearly embraced the three point shot and the four guard line-up. Udoka did give us rim protection. The model Duke used with Okafer to with the title, with Jackson in the Justice Winslow role.
Udoka was not Okafer, but Lucas is not Udoka, either; regardless of which player you prefer, we can all agree that our next group of "bigs" (Mitch and Coleby) are a significant downgrade. Thus a big loss in depth.
But with our guards, we can still win the national title. Of course we can.
With our increased volatility, yesterday should be no true surprise. We could have just as easily lost to KSU or OSU at home.
We also have the accrual of off-the-court pressure and distractions. That's the real X factor this season.
I have great confidence that we walk into the house that Roy built on Monday night and come out with a win. In fact, with the loss Saturday, I'd be pretty surprised if we don't -- but with this team, not shocked.
We are 20-3. That is really what defines this team at this point. Does anyone really doubt that this team can win six games in a row in the tourney? I don't. And that's really what defines the future.